Wisc Race was REALLY Close

[JoeRider]

Washington Post cover: 'Close vote' for Walker | Campaign 2012 | Washington Examiner

Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker survived his recall race last night, walking away with a seven point victory over Democratic candidate Mayor Tom Barrett.

But that's a 'close race,' according to the front page of the Washington Post this morning.

Funny how Obama won by a landslide with about the same difference.

[b23hqb]

Newspaper here says Walker survived, barely won.....and just a tad bigger than the election of 2010.....maybe, just maybe, some more people are waking up....

[itsbob]

Liberal SPIN in full effect.

Up to the election the pundits were saying ANY Conservative victory would be catastrophic for the dems.. Any Lib victory would be catastrohic for the Right..

Now the press steps in and says.. "He didn't win by enough!! It's still a Dem Win!!"

They lost, now they have to turn on the SPIN..

[ItalianScallion (Premo)]

And it was barely even talked about on the TV news today. See how the lib media rolls?

[SamSpade]

Originally Posted by ItalianScallion

And it was barely even talked about on the TV news today. See how the lib media rolls?

I think the NYT described the election as "a setback for the Democrats".

Somehow they were unable to describe it as a big win for the Republicans.

[JoeR]

Originally Posted by itsbob

Liberal SPIN in full effect.

Up to the election the pundits were saying ANY Conservative victory would be catastrophic for the dems.. Any Lib victory would be catastrohic for the Right..

Now the press steps in and says.. "He didn't win by enough!! It's still a Dem Win!!"

They lost, now they have to turn on the SPIN..

And how the media is going on about how he might have won, BUT the people they interviewed on the exit polls are saying they are still going to vote for Obama. So it's still a win for the president.

[SamSpade]

Originally Posted by JoeR

And how the media is going on about how he might have won, BUT the people they interviewed on the exit polls are saying they are still going to vote for Obama. So it's still a win for the president.

This conclusion is still suspect because according to their exit polling - it was a close race. And it wasn't. So how close to an accurate model do they have with their predictions of November?

I think Wisconsin could well be in play, come November. They have a Republican governor. They have one Republican senator and another Republican candidate highly likely to take Kohl's seat in November. They will have a Republican House and probably regain the Senate because of redistricting.

They also have something else - a much more experienced Republican election apparatus in place, a consequence of the recall - lots of volunteers and strong ground support.

And they have five more months to broaden their support in a summer that looks kind of dire for Democrats.

I'm just saying - it could easily happen.

[Rommey]

Wisconsin hasn't gone for Republican president candidate since Reagan in 1984. However, in 2000 and 2004, the margins were razor thin in favor of the Democrat candidate.

in 2000, Gore won by about 6K votes out of 2.6M votes cast (47.8% to 47.6%).
in 2004, Kerry won by about 11K votes out of 3M votes cast (49.7% to 49.3%).

I think 2008 was an anomaly in that the winning margin was greater than any election since 1964.

I think that Wisconsin could very well go Republican, but it would be a very close race with a similar winning margin as in 2000/2004.