Storm Season: Hurricane Forecast Lowered

[OldHillcrestGuy]

Originally Posted by LordStanley

1 Subtropical Storm Andrea
2Tropical Storm Barry
3 Tropical Storm Chantal
4 Hurricane Dean
5 Tropical Storm Erin
6 Hurricane Felix
7 Tropical Storm Gabrielle
8 Tropical Storm Ingrid
9 Hurricane Humberto
10 Tropical Depression Ten
11 Tropical Storm Jerry
12 Tropical Storm Karen
13 Hurricane Lorenzo
14 Tropical Storm Melissa
15 Tropical Depression Fifteen


Out of 15 storms 4 were hurricanes. looks pretty average to me

I think only one of those storms or depressions came anywhere close to the East Coast most seemed to fizzle out, way out. I swear I can only remember having about 5 or 6 thunderstorms this whole summer. Seemed in the last several years every evening we were having severe thunderstorm warnings and actually getting some really bad storms.

[ylexot]

http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/tropical/

Unless a dramatic and perhaps historical flurry of activity occurs in the next 9 weeks, 2007 will rank as a historically inactive TC year for the Northern Hemisphere as a whole. During the past 30 years, only 1977, 1981, and 1983 have had less activity to date (January-TODAY, Accumulated Cyclone Energy). However, the year is not over...

2007 lowest September activity on record since 1977

2006 and 2007 lowest October activity on record since 1976 and 1977

For the period of June 1 - TODAY, only 1977 has experienced LESS tropical cyclone activity than 2007.
There are currently two worldwide tropical cyclones: Tropical Storm Noel and Unnamed Arabian Sea TS...

On average to date (1970-2006), the Eastern Pacific season is 97% completed, Western Pacific 82%, North Atlantic 93% and overall Northern Hemisphere 87%.

[AndyMarquisLIVE]

Originally Posted by ylexot

http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/tropical/

The storms are still stronger, and we're still breaking records.

When's the last time we had two category 5 hurricanes hit the same area back to back in the same year?

[ylexot]

Originally Posted by AndyMarquisLIVE

The storms are still stronger

How are they stronger?

[AndyMarquisLIVE]

Originally Posted by ylexot

How are they stronger?

You know how, you know what's going on, you've just got your mindset so far to the right that you choose to ignore it.

They're getting stronger and forming faster than ever before. Look at Charley, Katrina, Wilma, Felix, Humberto, Ivan, Dennis, Jeanne.

[Nickel]

Originally Posted by AndyMarquisLIVE

You know how, you know what's going on, you've just got your mindset so far to the right that you choose to ignore it.

Only you would turn a statement about hurricanes to politics.

[ylexot]

Originally Posted by AndyMarquisLIVE

You know how, you know what's going on, you've just got your mindset so far to the right that you choose to ignore it.

They're getting stronger and forming faster than ever before. Look at Charley, Katrina, Wilma, Felix, Humberto, Ivan, Dennis, Jeanne.

I'm looking at this year.

[AndyMarquisLIVE]

Originally Posted by ylexot

I'm looking at this year.

So, one year, which saw two category 5 hurricanes make landfall as category 5 hurricanes (a first in recorded history) and saw Humberto grow into a hurricane in less than 18 hours from nothing with dry air and land interference.

Yep, you're right, tropics are safe. I should move to the Gulf Coast and not worry about hurricanes.

[ylexot]

Originally Posted by AndyMarquisLIVE

So, one year, which saw two category 5 hurricanes make landfall as category 5 hurricanes (a first in recorded history) and saw Humberto grow into a hurricane in less than 18 hours from nothing with dry air and land interference.

Yep, you're right, tropics are safe. I should move to the Gulf Coast and not worry about hurricanes.

Where are you getting that I said any of this stuff? This thread is about the predicted severe hurricane season that has turned into one of the weakest seasons on record.

Put the bong down. It's making you paranoid.

[AndyMarquisLIVE]

Originally Posted by ylexot

Where are you getting that I said any of this stuff? This thread is about the predicted severe hurricane season that has turned into one of the weakest seasons on record.

Put the bong down. It's making you paranoid.

1992 was a below average hurricane season. Would you tell the people in Florida that that was a weak hurricane season?