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Old 08-09-2007, 02:24 PM   #1
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Storm Season: Hurricane Forecast Lowered

I still think they're way off base. 10 hurricanes, try something more like 4 or 5 hurricanes.
MIAMI - Government forecasters minimally reduced their prediction for the Atlantic hurricane season Thursday, saying up to nine hurricanes and up to 16 tropical storms are expected to form.

The forecasters maintained their estimate that three to five of the hurricanes would be strong. The original report forecast up to 17 tropical storms, with up to 10 becoming hurricanes.

But the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration also cautioned that the season is likely to be above normal, stating that new data has allowed it to increase its confidence level. It now estimates an 85 percent chance of an above-normal season.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/20196554/
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Old 08-09-2007, 06:28 PM   #2
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I guess it's safe to say that mother nature ran out of steam
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Old 08-09-2007, 06:29 PM   #3
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Surprise, surprise...two years in a row.
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Old 08-09-2007, 07:03 PM   #4
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Originally Posted by canuk woman
I guess it's safe to say that mother nature ran out of steam
Not so quick :finger:

Tornado hits New York, flooding in London, severe flooding in Sudan, earthquakes in Japan.

It's actually been a historic year for natural disasters worldwide.
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Old 08-09-2007, 07:51 PM   #5
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Yanno, if I guessed at my job and was as wrong as forecasters, people would die.

I predict that next year we will have 3 hurricanes that will hit the CONUS. None will be above a 3.

Ok NOAA, send me a check.
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Old 08-09-2007, 08:22 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AndyMarquisLIVE
I still think they're way off base. 10 hurricanes, try something more like 4 or 5 hurricanes.
MIAMI - Government forecasters minimally reduced their prediction for the Atlantic hurricane season Thursday, saying up to nine hurricanes and up to 16 tropical storms are expected to form.

The forecasters maintained their estimate that three to five of the hurricanes would be strong. The original report forecast up to 17 tropical storms, with up to 10 becoming hurricanes.

But the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration also cautioned that the season is likely to be above normal, stating that new data has allowed it to increase its confidence level. It now estimates an 85 percent chance of an above-normal season.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/20196554/

But wait, they cant lower the prediction... Its not peak season yet
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Old 08-09-2007, 09:51 PM   #7
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Originally Posted by LordStanley
But wait, they cant lower the prediction... Its not peak season yet
It's not peak season.

Again, peak is September 11th.

Argue as much as you want - my information comes from charts shown on WeatherChannel/WeatherPlus/MSNBC/CNN/FOX News Channel/CBS/ABC/BBC/Disney.
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Old 08-09-2007, 09:53 PM   #8
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<IMG SRC="http://weblogs.hitwise.com/bill-tancer/hurricane.png">
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Old 08-10-2007, 06:10 AM   #9
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My guess is as good as theirs,and I dont have multi-millions of dollars in equipment.

It could be an active season it all depends on the length of the muskrats hair. Muskrats tend to grow more hair during bad hurricane seasons.
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Old 10-17-2007, 02:31 PM   #10
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Well, here it is...October

Has anyone seen a major hurricane? :crickets:
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