| | #42 (permalink) | |
| Super Genius Member Since: Feb 2004 Location: St Inigoes, MD
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| | #43 (permalink) | |
| Asperger's Poster Child Member Since: Aug 2001
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__________________ The power of Vrai compels you! The power of Vrai compels you! | |
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| | #44 (permalink) |
| Member Member Since: Apr 2001 Location: Lexington Park
Posts: 497
| >>Facts and logical thought sway my opinions. << It's hardly fact that the terrorist bombing caused a turn in the spanish election. If anything, this opinion is more an emotional response to not getting a desired result. Short of every voter coming out and saying they voted for the socialist party as a result of the bombing, any opinions you may read are only speculation. A falure of the media and political analysts to accurately predict the outcome of an election is nothing new. Right here in the old USA, there was a big scandal about 4 years ago over an election being called before all the votes were cast. I could easily speculate that all the Spanish socialist voters just happen to be late comers to the polls. Especially considering the spanish peoples disagreement with the popular parties' handling of the Iraq war from the beginning. And then we come to the old correlation versus causation statistical argument. Just because two events happen at the same time, does not mean that one causes the other. You need far more information then a bombing occuring just before an election to prove the bombing influenced the election. No statistical connection can be proven by correlation alone. In the end, I agree that it is possible that the bombing influenced the election in spain, but there is far from enough evidence to say how probable it is. So if you want to speculate on such a connection, go ahead, but don't try to pass speculation on as fact. Last edited by Warron : 03-17-2004 at 12:29 PM. |
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| | #45 (permalink) |
| Super Genius Member Since: Feb 2004 Location: St Inigoes, MD
Posts: 9,818
| At no time did I say that it was a fact that the terrorist bombing caused the turn in the Spanish election. However... "Aznar's conservative Popular Party, which had led pre-election polls before the Madrid train bombings, fell from 183 seats to 148." That would be a little something I call a FACT. That fact and some logical thought lead to the opinion that the terrorist bombing caused the turn in the Spanish election. If you had read my post, you would see that I was commenting on how Supergrover was swayed by one editorial, but not the other despite the presentation of the same opinions. He was swayed by emotions because he thought one of the authors was "arrogant". |
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| | #46 (permalink) | |
| jack of all trades Member Since: Nov 2003 Location: on my toilet with the wireless LAN
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"No lie. It would be one thing if the Socialists were leading in the polls before the attacks, and then won the election. But that's not what happened. The Socialists had been generating little more than apathy and no-shows at the polls..." the point is that, the open letter to spain just makes us into the "ugly americans" europe portrays us as.
__________________ One if by land, two if by C-Note. | |
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| | #47 (permalink) | ||
| Have you forgotten? Member Since: Mar 2001 Location: Off the grid
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| | #48 (permalink) | |
| I Need a Life Member Since: Oct 2003 Location: Waldorf
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| | #49 (permalink) | |
| jack of all trades Member Since: Nov 2003 Location: on my toilet with the wireless LAN
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__________________ One if by land, two if by C-Note. | |
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| | #50 (permalink) | ||
| Have you forgotten? Member Since: Mar 2001 Location: Off the grid
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