U.S. Has Record 10th Straight Year Without 3% Growth in GDP

GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member
U.S. Has Record 10th Straight Year Without 3% Growth in GDP


(CNSNews.com) - The United States has now gone a record 10 straight years without 3 percent growth in real Gross Domestic Product, according to data released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

The BEA has calculated GDP for each year going back to 1929 and it has calculated the inflation-adjusted annual change in GDP (in constant 2009 dollars) from 1930 forward.

In the 85 years for which BEA has calculated the annual change in real GDP there is only one ten-year stretch—2006 through 2015—when the annual growth in real GDP never hit 3 percent. During the last ten years, real annual growth in GDP peaked in 2006 at 2.7 percent. It has never been that high again, according to the BEA.



but, but, but ..... Obama tells me how great the country is doing with 5% Unemployment
 

tommyjo

New Member
So why would you post CNS News as a resource for economic commentary? Because you are trying to pound the square peg of factual data into the round hole of political propaganda. So what's wrong with your latest piece of dribble?? Why isn't the economy doing better?

That is quite clear and quite as easy answer. People like you who don't understand much and elect idiots to Congress. People like you who elect people to Congress who think cutting budgets in times of great economic stress is the right thing to do.

While the Federal Reserve has done about everything it could to help the country recover, the fiscal stimulus needed to halt and recover from the devastating type of recession we faced never materialized. Because of propagandists like you and the people like you elect.

We have squandered the opportunity we had to put people back to work and shove the economy into a higher gear.

To the stupidity of your comment about 5% unemployment...did you bother to read the article? Here is the next to last paragraph:

“In order to boost GDP, we need to overhaul our tax code and strip away unnecessary government regulations to give employers the confidence they need grow their businesses and create new jobs. Congress can take action to help grow our economy, but we need a willing partner in the White House,” said Coats.

You actually COMPLAIN about a low unemployment rate and the article you posted claims that overhauling the tax code will increase employment. Well, based on your comment the unemployment rate isn't important.

Here is another quote from your article:

The longest consecutive stretch of years in which the United State saw real GDP grow by 3.0 percent or better was the seven year period from 1983-1989, during the presidency of Ronald Reagan.

What funded that economic boom? Have you ever looked at the deficit spending under Mr. Reagan? Maybe you should. Have you ever looked at what interest rates were before and after the Fed induced recessions on the early 80s? Does today's current interest rate scenario and tomorrow's interest rate outlook have anything remotely in commons with that of the 1980s? No.

Here's another quote:

Before this period, the longest stretch of years when real GDP did not grow by at least 3.0 percent, as calculatd by the BEA, was the four-year stretch from 1930 to 1933—during the Great Depression.

We'll ignore the editorial failure to catch the typo. Were there commonalities between the Great Depression and the Great Recession. Yup....the underlying cause was the same...a financial crisis that resulted in a complete collapse in the availability of credit. No lending = no economic growth.

So what was different in the recovery periods. Did we embark on a prolonged national infrastructure building program after the Great Recession? No. Did we restructure the banking and investment industry to make them safer for the overall economy? Only modestly, but certainly not to the extent needed. Are we now embroiled in a global war that has destroyed the rest of the developed world's ability to manufacture goods, a war that left us standing as the only unscathed economy? No.

What is interesting is that your article seems to shine a light on the post Great Depression era as one of glorious expansion...and then highlights this quote:

“Whether it is burdensome regulations, a broken tax code or a ballooning national debt, the Obama Administration’s policies are a dead weight on the economy,” said Sen. Coats. “Under this president, we continue to see stubbornly low workforce participation and historically high long-term unemployment rates.

Coming out of the Great Depression and WWII, our debt to GDP ratio was much higher than it is today. So why does your CNS New decry today's debt levels, but not the level coming out of the Great Depression???

One other difference between now and the end of the Great Depression? We were a youthful nation. Today we are a gray nation. Our demographics are a major reason from the labor force participation rate issues. Any first year econ student understands this. Our demographics are a large part of our national debt issues...as is our inability to raise the revenue to pay for the spending we've already committed ourselves to...a situation that began in earnest 35 years ago and should have been fixed under the last administration...but that opportunity, like so many others, was thrown away at the behest of political expediency and to satiate an ignorant electorate.
 

SamSpade

Well-Known Member
We'll ignore the editorial failure to catch the typo.

Was the "typo" calling the range of years 1930-33 "four"? I publish statistics for the government - and we count the years as discrete elements, because a FULL year's data is required to publish anything. So that would be the years 1930, 31, 32 and 33. It may be a typo, but the way we do it here is the end points count as discrete years.
 

GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member
While the Federal Reserve has done about everything it could to help the country recover, the fiscal stimulus needed to halt and recover from the devastating type of recession we faced never materialized. Because of propagandists like you and the people like you elect.

We have squandered the opportunity we had to put people back to work and shove the economy into a higher gear.



how Keynesian of you ...
 
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