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Thread: The Obsession With White Voters Could Cost Democrats the Virginia Governorís Race

  1. #1
    INGSOC GURPS's Avatar
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    The Obsession With White Voters Could Cost Democrats the Virginia Governorís Race

    The Obsession With White Voters Could Cost Democrats the Virginia Governorís Race
    If Ralph Northamís campaign is any indication, Democrats have learned the wrong lesson from 2016.



    For all the analyses offered about the behavior of these voters in 2016, you hear almost nothing about the tactical and strategic decisions that led to the cataclysmic collapse of black-voter turnout. Of the first $200 million allocated by progressive outside groups for spending in 2016, zero dollars were directed to African-American voter mobilization. Zero. Despite the availability of multiple inspiring leaders of color in the mold of Barack Obama, the Clinton campaign opted to return to the days of fielding an all-white presidential ticket. In facing a Republican nominee whose candidacy was propelled by white racial fears and anxieties, the Democratic strategy was to largely ignore the racism and focus instead on Trumpís temperament. In the face of such neglect and disinterest, many black voters showed less interest in the election, and turnout plummeted to the lowest level in almost 20 years. A higher percentage of black voters turned out to vote for John Kerry than did for Hillary Clinton, and that precipitous decline cost her the pivotal states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvaniaóand, as a result, the White House.

    Rather than heeding last yearís wake-up call, Democratís continue to perpetuate this pattern of structural racism and implicit bias. Take the upcoming election in Virginiaóa quadrennial political bellwether because it takes place the year after each presidential election. Smart electoral strategy should be predicated on empirical evidence and hard data, and the data in Virginia clearly illuminates the path to victory for Democrats. In off-year elections, turnout usually drops dramatically, lowering the threshold needed to secure a majority of the vote. Current Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe won the governorís mansion in 2013 with about 1.1 million votes. It is the presidential elections that show the true size of the pool of progressive voters, and Clinton won nearly 2 million votes in Virginia last year. According to the exit polls, 53 percent of the Virginians who supported Clintonó1,047,518 votersówere people of color. Thatís more than all of the people who backed the 2013 Republican gubernatorial nominee, Ken Cuccinelli, whose campaign garnered 1,013,354 votes.
    Weíre tempted to suggest a conspiracy here ó but itís just liberals agreeing yet again that conservatives have hidden, evil motives, because modern liberals simply canít conceive of any other reason to disagree with the liberal consensus.

  2. #2
    They keep talking about some visual where his ticketmate - Justin Fairfax - has been blurred out - and how there's no mention of him in tons of material - as some kind of affront to black voters.

    I really would be surprised if many voters had noticed at all without it being pointed out first.

    But Democrats have historically assumed the black vote is always theirs, and as the Republicans DON'T think they will make much progress - they get less attention from both parties.

    I'm not sure how this trend ever gets broken, but you can bet that a politician is never going to work hard for your vote if he knows he will always get it.
    ďGood intentions will always be pleaded for every assumption of authority. It is hardly too strong to say that the Constitution was made to guard the people against the dangers of good intentions. There are men in all ages who mean to govern well, but they mean to govern. They promise to be good masters, but they mean to be masters.".Daniel Webster

  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by SamSpade View Post
    Democrats have historically assumed the black vote is always theirs, and as the Republicans DON'T think they will make much progress - they get less attention from both parties.

    I'm not sure how this trend ever gets broken, but you can bet that a politician is never going to work hard for your vote if he knows he will always get it.
    I think the trend gets broken when the vote of black people is no longer a given for the Democrats. When the majority of black people vote on issues, and recognize the combined incompetence and racism of Democrats in terms of how they govern, they will no longer be ignored by either party.
    There are only two possibilities; one is that we are alone in the universe, the other is that we are not.
    Both are terrifying.

  4. #4
    I do love VA politics. The political ads are very entertaining. MD is a snooze fest compared to VA.
    "Pain heals. Chicks dig scars. Glory... lasts forever." - Shane Falco

  5. #5
    INGSOC GURPS's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SamSpade View Post
    But Democrats have historically assumed the black vote is always theirs .......


    after the massive turn out for Obama, Hillary got the shock of her life, last yr
    Weíre tempted to suggest a conspiracy here ó but itís just liberals agreeing yet again that conservatives have hidden, evil motives, because modern liberals simply canít conceive of any other reason to disagree with the liberal consensus.

  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by stgislander View Post
    I do love VA politics. The political ads are very entertaining. MD is a snooze fest compared to VA.
    Partly because - you can't be re-elected as governor, so both sides are always newcomers.
    ďGood intentions will always be pleaded for every assumption of authority. It is hardly too strong to say that the Constitution was made to guard the people against the dangers of good intentions. There are men in all ages who mean to govern well, but they mean to govern. They promise to be good masters, but they mean to be masters.".Daniel Webster

  7. #7
    Awww, jeez Monello's Avatar
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    Blacks should take the advice of political sage Stephen Smith, the ESPN commentator:
    What I dream is that for one election, just one, every black person in America vote Republican....
    Black folks in America are telling one party, ‘We don’t give a damn about you.’ They’re telling the other party, ‘You’ve got our vote.’ Therefore, you have labeled yourself ‘disenfranchised’ because one party knows they’ve got you under their thumb. The other party knows they’ll never get you and nobody comes to address your interest.
    "Is Uncle Monello homeless?"

    Monello thinks he is king of the forum, now. Just keep that in mind.
    What bad thing did you do?

  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by Monello View Post
    Blacks should take the advice of political sage Stephen Smith, the ESPN commentator:
    Exactly. Heard this same thing over and over - as long as you never vote one way and always vote the other - earning and keeping your vote is of no consequence.
    And generally, that's what's been happening.

    Then again, each side is mortally afraid that if they DON'T vote one way, the other side will tear them up.

    We may have reached a point where the voters realize that neither side really cares about what they're getting done. Just as long as they keep their job.
    ďGood intentions will always be pleaded for every assumption of authority. It is hardly too strong to say that the Constitution was made to guard the people against the dangers of good intentions. There are men in all ages who mean to govern well, but they mean to govern. They promise to be good masters, but they mean to be masters.".Daniel Webster

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