Dunning–Kruger effect

GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member
Dunning–Kruger effect


The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which low-ability individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly assessing their ability as much higher than it really is. Dunning and Kruger attributed this bias to a metacognitive inability of those of low ability to recognize their ineptitude and evaluate their ability accurately. Their research also suggests corollaries: high-ability individuals may underestimate their relative competence and may erroneously assume that tasks which are easy for them are also easy for others.[1]

Dunning and Kruger have postulated that the effect is the result of internal illusion in those of low ability, and external misperception in those of high ability: "The miscalibration of the incompetent stems from an error about the self, whereas the miscalibration of the highly competent stems from an error about others."[1]


Original study

The phenomenon was first experimentally observed in a series of experiments by David Dunning and Justin Kruger of the department of psychology at Cornell University in 1999.[1][2] The study was inspired by the case of McArthur Wheeler, a man who robbed two banks after covering his face with lemon juice in the mistaken belief that, because lemon juice is usable as invisible ink, it would prevent his face from being recorded on surveillance cameras.[3] The authors noted that earlier studies suggested that ignorance of standards of performance lies behind a great deal of incorrect self-assessment of competence.
 

SamSpade

Well-Known Member
Their research also suggests corollaries: high-ability individuals may underestimate their relative competence and may erroneously assume that tasks which are easy for them are also easy for others.[1]

Working with die-hard nerds for 25 years, I can assert this is 100% true, from the jokes and references they use, to the explanations they give. They don't get that their explanations, while seemingly clear to them - aren't so clear to most people.

Having also worked with an extremely strong and talented carpenter for a long time years before THAT - he would routinely lift and carry things like wet railroad ties on his shoulder and zip out a stringer for a staircase with ease - unaware that such feats are either difficult or impossible for most other people.
 

Larry Gude

Strung Out
...a man who robbed two banks after covering his face with lemon juice in the mistaken belief that, because lemon juice is usable as invisible ink, it would prevent his face from being recorded on surveillance cameras.[ .

Hmm. Back to the drawing board....


:lol:
 
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