Trump's Approval Highest in West Virginia, Lowest in Vermont

GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member
WASHINGTON, D.C. -- President Donald Trump's job approval rating averaged 38% throughout the U.S. in 2017, but at the state level it ranged from a high of 61% in West Virginia to a low of 26% in Vermont.

Trump averaged 50% or higher approval in 12 states in total, primarily in the states where he received the most votes in the 2016 election. In addition to West Virginia, the states where at least half the respondents approved of Trump included several western states (Wyoming, Idaho, Montana and Alaska), several southern states (Oklahoma, Alabama, Kentucky, Tennessee and Arkansas) and two Midwestern states (North and South Dakota).

[clip]

Big State-Small State Divide

Altogether, Trump received approval ratings above his 38% national average in 33 states and below it in 17.

The imbalance reflects the fact that the bottom group includes some of the most populous states in the nation, particularly California, New York and Illinois. By contrast, most of the states with 50% or higher approval of Trump are among the least populous -- the exceptions being Tennessee and Kentucky.


Trump's Approval Highest in West Virginia, Lowest in Vermont


and heavily democratic bastions


what Gallup is NOT telling you, is the break down by party
 

transporter

Well-Known Member
WASHINGTON, D.C. -- President Donald Trump's job approval rating averaged 38% throughout the U.S. in 2017, but at the state level it ranged from a high of 61% in West Virginia to a low of 26% in Vermont.

Trump averaged 50% or higher approval in 12 states in total, primarily in the states where he received the most votes in the 2016 election. In addition to West Virginia, the states where at least half the respondents approved of Trump included several western states (Wyoming, Idaho, Montana and Alaska), several southern states (Oklahoma, Alabama, Kentucky, Tennessee and Arkansas) and two Midwestern states (North and South Dakota).

[clip]

Big State-Small State Divide

Altogether, Trump received approval ratings above his 38% national average in 33 states and below it in 17.

The imbalance reflects the fact that the bottom group includes some of the most populous states in the nation, particularly California, New York and Illinois. By contrast, most of the states with 50% or higher approval of Trump are among the least populous -- the exceptions being Tennessee and Kentucky.


Trump's Approval Highest in West Virginia, Lowest in Vermont


and heavily democratic bastions


what Gallup is NOT telling you, is the break down by party

So what is your point? Gallup is being misleading because they aren't stating the political majority in a state? You just don't seem to be very bright.

"states" don't vote...people do...and the majority of the PEOPLE in the United States do not approve of this President.

Trump avgs a 50% approval rating in 12 of 50 states...that is pathetic. It is even more pathetic when you consider that the economy is doing well with low unemployment and inflation. That isn't anyone's fault but Trump's and it just continues to show that the man is unfit for the position.

He is below 40% in 18 states....(including Texas)...that is pathetic as well.
 

MiddleGround

Well-Known Member
"states" don't vote...people do...and the majority of the PEOPLE in the United States do not approve of this President.

Sure about that? I seem to recall the majority of people not voting for Trump to be President however, the states voted him in and... there he is!
 

Chris0nllyn

Well-Known Member
what Gallup is NOT telling you, is the break down by party

How would they know? Your link states:
Each sample of national adults includes a minimum quota of 70% cellphone respondents and 30% landline respondents, with additional minimum quotas by time zone within region. Landline and cellular telephone numbers are selected using random-digit-dial methods.
 

Merlin99

Visualize whirled peas
PREMO Member
So what is your point? Gallup is being misleading because they aren't stating the political majority in a state? You just don't seem to be very bright.

"states" don't vote...people do...and the majority of the PEOPLE in the United States do not approve of this President.

Trump avgs a 50% approval rating in 12 of 50 states...that is pathetic. It is even more pathetic when you consider that the economy is doing well with low unemployment and inflation. That isn't anyone's fault but Trump's and it just continues to show that the man is unfit for the position.

He is below 40% in 18 states....(including Texas)...that is pathetic as well.

It's higher than your approval rating, that makes you less than a pathetic person. How does that make you feel?
 

GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member
Gallup is being misleading because they aren't stating the political majority in a state? You just don't seem to be very bright.

you are the one that is not too bright ....
not in a state you mewling quim ....
out of the total numbers polled ....

unless the numbers of Democrats / Republicans / Independents how are to know if the poll was skewed to one party or the other .....
if 538 posted results tomorrow that Trump had a 75% approval rating, wouldn't you want know if out of 1000 people polled, 800 of them were Republican

qunnipak, Gallup, Rasmussen, CNN, NYT, LAT ... etc all love to 'over sample' Democrats vs Republicans then add in Independents, and then claim Americans don't like Trump

"states" don't vote...people do...

your density makes Iridium look like cream cheese

... and it just continues to show that the man is unfit for the position.


your OPINION Sugar Tits
 

Chris0nllyn

Well-Known Member
you are the one that is not too bright ....
not in a state you mewling quim ....
out of the total numbers polled ....

unless the numbers of Democrats / Republicans / Independents how are to know if the poll was skewed to one party or the other .....
if 538 posted results tomorrow that Trump had a 75% approval rating, wouldn't you want know if out of 1000 people polled, 800 of them were Republican

qunnipak, Gallup, Rasmussen, CNN, NYT, LAT ... etc all love to 'over sample' Democrats vs Republicans then add in Independents, and then claim Americans don't like Trump

If they are calling RANDOM people, how are they "over sampling" any particular party?
 

GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member
If they are calling RANDOM people, how are they "over sampling" any particular party?


if they want to be balanced ...
'what party do you affiliate with'
Oh Democrat, ... Ok thanks have a nice day click [end call]


but when you end up with

35% Democrat
22% Independent
19% Republican
[there rest other]

it greatly skews the results

... they sample where the people are which is major urban centers and their surrounding suburbs ....

well there is that as well

when someone comes out with a poll xxx is in favor of Gun Control ... I immediately want to know if the Poll was taken on a NY Street Corner
 
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Hijinx

Well-Known Member

It seems they sample the States that have large cities run by Democrats and which have high crime rates and a lot of people getting benefits.
Of course they tend to not like anyone who is willing to cut those benefits.

When they go to States with a work ethic, they find that most approve of Mr. Trump.
West Va. approves because Trump has shown that he wants to put people to work.
 

Rommey

Well-Known Member
If they are calling RANDOM people, how are they "over sampling" any particular party?
How do they know what affiliation these random people are? What if they randomly just happen to get all democrats?
If you wanted to get a representative sampling from a state, wouldn't you want the respondent to represent a similar make up as the state? For example, in Maryland, there are 3.9M registered voters, with the breakdown being 2.1M (Dem), 1M (Rep), ~760K (Other). To give a more realistic representation of Maryland as a whole, you would expect the poll to show out of every 100 responses that ~54 would be Dem, ~25 would be Rep, and ~21 (other).
 

SamSpade

Well-Known Member
How do they know what affiliation these random people are? What if they randomly just happen to get all democrats?
If you wanted to get a representative sampling from a state, wouldn't you want the respondent to represent a similar make up as the state? For example, in Maryland, there are 3.9M registered voters, with the breakdown being 2.1M (Dem), 1M (Rep), ~760K (Other). To give a more realistic representation of Maryland as a whole, you would expect the poll to show out of every 100 responses that ~54 would be Dem, ~25 would be Rep, and ~21 (other).

Correct - you create a panel with the demographics ahead of time - and you sample within the panel.
And you weight your results afterward to reflect your universe.

It is NOT random in the sense that they have no idea who they are contacting. That's absurd.
It IS random within the part they've set aside - they randomly select, say, Democrats or men or women or older and so forth.
It's actually very hard to get a good representative sample across many demographics.
And opinion polling is the hardest, because unlike hard concrete data, people will lie, dissemble, hang up, change their mind.
Worse, the method is harder. It's getting harder to know when Americans will be home, have a land line, and so on,
and if you rely on the same method - say, an overnight landline poll - you might still get a bunch of Grandmas because they're
the ones who are home with the landline.
 

GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member
you would expect the poll to show out of every 100 responses that ~54 would be Dem, ~25 would be Rep, and ~21 (other).



54 calls to Baltimore Exchanges
25 Calls to St Marys or Calvert Exchanges
21 random calls across the state


oh wait with all the cell phones now a days, is that really possible
 

Hijinx

Well-Known Member
I don't know about pollers but the sales people seem to know when I am home, They call me when I am eating my dinner.
 
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