538...2020 vs 2016 chance of winning

gunsmoke

Active Member
2016: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

2020: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

More pictures for those who can't read or ONLY read propaganda:

Clinton peaked at 88% chance in mid October (grab them by the pussy tape???)...from that point her chances tumbled to just under 65% within a couple days of the election.

Biden has been steadily trending upwards since Sept 1. Trump has been steadily trending down. There is not a single day when Trump's chances were higher than the day before since August 31st. Not one.



As the news of Trumps early knowledge about how devastating and deadly COVID was worked its way into the consciousness of voters....as news of Trump's failure to contribute to this country's finances worked its way in the consciousness of the average working American family...as COVID cases started to spike and Trump proclaimed the pandemic was ending...his chances of winning continue to decrease.

Biden has been consistently at or above 50% national polling since mid June. Clinton never polled above 50%

Biden has been 5% or more ahead of Trump in the national averages since April and is currently 9.2% ahead of Trump.

Clinton peaked with less than a 7% lead in early Oct. 6 days before the election, she was only up by 3.5%...close to the margin of error.

Does this mean Trump is guaranteed to lose? No, of course not.

The raging, almost pathological blindness, to the realities exhibited on here all day long by the brain dead cult and dozens upon dozens of daily propaganda posts don't change the fact that there is nothing that indicates Trump is leading, Trump is changing the trend, Trump is changing minds, Trump is expanding his shrinking base or Trump is closing the gap like he did in 2016. Nothing.
 

GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member
The raging, almost pathological blindness, to the realities exhibited on here all day long by the brain dead cult and dozens upon dozens of daily propaganda posts don't change the fact that there is nothing that indicates Trump is leading, Trump is changing the trend, Trump is changing minds, Trump is expanding his shrinking base or Trump is closing the gap like he did in 2016. Nothing.


Fantasy Supposition, Innuendo and OPINION
 
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