A question on secession

Larry Gude

Strung Out
Good stuff -- only flaw in the logic trail. If the Civil war was about slavery, why did South Carolina attack the Union first? Perhaps Lincoln ultimately would have attacked South Carolina to bring them back to the Union and put an end to slavery, but South Carolina wanted the Union soldiers to vacate their state/country. That wasn't for slavery purposes. That was to establish their independence as a free nation (that could own slaves if they damn well pleased).
SC saw unwelcome warships in THEIR harbor. When they seceded that saw Sumter as, obviously, theirs and subsequently occupied by a then foreign nation. I think they should have offered to buy it but that's another issue. SC did not attack the Union. As for Lincoln, he HAD to have them firing the first shots. A great deal of public sentiment in the North was to let them go. In peace. Once the shooting started, all bets came off.
 

PsyOps

Pixelated
From the Southern view it was.
That's like saying I'm justified murdering someone even though the law saws I'm not allowed to. Does their rebellion change the fact that they are official states of the United States? This is really a separate issue to secession.
 
That's not how Lincoln saw it. He and Davis had the most amazing dance of both at the same time being certain of their positions, right to secede, no right to secede yet at the same time taking all the care they could muster to avoid being seen as the aggressor; they were not THAT certain. Davis send Beauregard to Charleston to chill them out. He knew he was NOWHERE near ready to start a fight. Making matters worse, Anderson had NO orders to occupy Sumter in the first place and he wasn't anti South per se. He just guessed at his duty lacking direction from his bosses.

Lincoln felt he needed the South to throw the first real punch (though they had already fired at federal ships trying to enter the harbor some month or so earlier). Lincoln was NOT sure of his position. Heck, his Sec State Seward had back channel (and unauthorized) conversations with leaders of the South assuring them the fort would be abandoned so sure was Seward that Lincoln was inclined to seek other ways.

Amazing time.
A couple quick things: If you're suggesting there were PR considerations in play as well, you'll get no argument from me. And the Union, for the most part, won the PR battle - and I don't just mean that in historical, history is written by the victors, ways. Also, if you're suggesting that President Lincoln would have preferred to delay open combat for some time for strategic reasons, you'll also get no argument from me. But I believe President Lincoln was intent on not letting the Confederate states go their own way. He simply wasn't going to allow it. And that means, almost with certainty, there was going to be war. President Lincoln was always - sooner or later - going to go to war to bring the Confederate states back into the Union (or, in some people's views, keep them in it) if that was what was needed to do so. And I think it was going to be. Perhaps we disagree on that penultimate point.
 

This_person

Well-Known Member
That is absurd. Lincolns election was the last straw. Slavery was original sin, the great evil. You seem to be trying to intellectualize minor issues like tariffs and such as these grave matters compared to slavery and that is simply absurd. Slavery was the ocean of sin. Everything else were the drips.
Actually, South Carolina was ready to secede long before Lincoln. And, not everything was slavery.

Again, this is a perspective issue. We extracted ourselves from England over how long it took to pass laws, right? Or, was it the whole list?
 
Thing is slavery was already dying. The war was not necessary to end slavery and one of the first things a young mind ought to learn is that the North did NOT start fighting to end slavery. Had they started out on that course, there'd have been no war as public support for a war to end slavery was not there, not even close. Northerners were very much white supremacists, too.

I think the war was the worst way to go about ending slavery. It jarred the nation and threw most ex slaves into conditions, practically speaking, far worse than what they had prior.
It would have taken another generation or maybe even 3 but slavery was dying in the South. Far better for it to have been gradual than sudden. For all.
I agree with all of that, those are things that I've argued myself in the past. :buddies:

Hopefully we can continue this, but I need to go do some Supreme Court watching now. We've got some important decisions that may get handed down in the next hour.
 

Larry Gude

Strung Out
A couple quick things: If you're suggesting there were PR considerations in play as well, you'll get no argument from me. And the Union, for the most part, won the PR battle - and I don't just mean that in historical, history is written by the victors, ways. Also, if you're suggesting that President Lincoln would have preferred to delay open combat for some time for strategic reasons, you'll also get no argument from me. But I believe President Lincoln was intent on not letting the Confederate states go their own way. He simply wasn't going to allow it. And that means, almost with certainty, there was going to be war. President Lincoln was always - sooner or later - going to go to war to bring the Confederate states back into the Union (or, in some people's views, keep them in it) if that was what was needed to do so. And I think it was going to be. Perhaps we disagree on that penultimate point.
Disagree. Have to get back this later.
 

PsyOps

Pixelated
I agree with all of that, those are things that I've argued myself in the past. :buddies:

Hopefully we can continue this, but I need to go do some Supreme Court watching now. We've got some important decisions that may get handed down in the next hour.
Watch the SCOTUS on TV ---- Play golf?

Very disappointing Mister. :nono:
 

This_person

Well-Known Member
So the Titanic had an navigation issues. Not a giant gaping hole in it.
The root cause of the Titanic was not following the rules of the sea. The root cause of SC wanting to secede (long before any slavery conflicts) was the federal government not following the rules (as SC saw them) of the Constitution.

The titanic sank because of a hole. The hole existed because they were not following common sense/rules of the sea (and design flaws). SC seceded because of slavery issues. Slavery issues existed (in their minds) because the federal government wasn't following the rules of the Constitution.

Root cause analysis vs. knee-jerk reaction analysis is the root cause of the disagreement over why SC seceded.
 
Good stuff -- only flaw in the logic trail. If the Civil war was about slavery, why did South Carolina attack the Union first? Perhaps Lincoln ultimately would have attacked South Carolina to bring them back to the Union and put an end to slavery, but South Carolina wanted the Union soldiers to vacate their state/country. That wasn't for slavery purposes. That was to establish their independence as a free nation (that could own slaves if they damn well pleased).
Quickly as I have to divert my attention to something else for a bit, and I addressed this notion to some extent in my previous post: You said it, South Carolina wanted those soldiers that were remaining loyal to the United States - to what at that point, from its perspective, was a foreign power - to leave its territory. Now, that may have in part been for emotional reasons - just wanting the pleasure of throwing them out, and not wanting the sensation of having to accept them still being there. But it was also in part for strategic reasons. War was likely coming, and the port of Charleston was enormously important to South Carolina and the Confederacy. And he who controlled Fort Sumter controlled the port of Charleston. They couldn't let the Union hold that Fort if war was coming, perhaps best to take it when doing so was as easy as it was going to get.
 

This_person

Well-Known Member
How so? Recheck your fail.

http://visualeconomics.creditloan.com/united-states-federal-tax-dollars/

Texas gets .94 for dollar they send to DC. Fl gets .97 for every dollar sent to DC. These numbers are pretty accurate.
If I see your source correctly, it was in 2013 (comments go back that far), so it has to be from information prior to that (I can't find on your source where their data came from). My source is from 2015, and states the data is from 2013, and shows even less money back per dollar given away to the federal government.

Or, I'm agreeing, and saying it's worse than you think.
 

b23hqb

Well-Known Member
PREMO Member
If I understand this analysis correctly (and it's confusing, so I might not), Texas citizens get back $0.79 for every $1 given in federal taxes.

How is the analysis that they're a donor state wrong?
It is confusing, and by reading some of the comments following the charts and graphs, it appears there are flaws in the calculations based on taxes paid in each state.

It is also very difficult to find the latest, updatest numbers as well.
 
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Larry Gude

Strung Out
The root cause of the Titanic was not following the rules of the sea. The root cause of SC wanting to secede (long before any slavery conflicts) was the federal government not following the rules (as SC saw them) of the Constitution.

The titanic sank because of a hole. The hole existed because they were not following common sense/rules of the sea (and design flaws). SC seceded because of slavery issues. Slavery issues existed (in their minds) because the federal government wasn't following the rules of the Constitution.

Root cause analysis vs. knee-jerk reaction analysis is the root cause of the disagreement over why SC seceded.
I was hoping you'd take that direction because it is a good point AND helps make mine; if we're talking about the ship being a little late due to poor navigation, there is that. Every issue SC had with federal over reach, as they saw it, paled in comparison to slavery. Fish to a whale. Pick you analogy but slavery was the mountain. They were never going to secede over threats to mole hills.
 

This_person

Well-Known Member
I was hoping you'd take that direction because it is a good point AND helps make mine; if we're talking about the ship being a little late due to poor navigation, there is that. Every issue SC had with federal over reach, as they saw it, paled in comparison to slavery. Fish to a whale. Pick you analogy but slavery was the mountain. They were never going to secede over threats to mole hills.
While I can't argue with the fact that they did not secede in the 1820's and 30's over the issues they felt were worth seceding over, those issues did exist.

Again, would they have seceded over ONLY slavery, if every other issue were not on the table prior? How many angels can dance on the head of a pin? Both of those answers are equally easy to prove.
 

Beta

Smile!
Thing is slavery was already dying. The war was not necessary to end slavery and one of the first things a young mind ought to learn is that the North did NOT start fighting to end slavery. Had they started out on that course, there'd have been no war as public support for a war to end slavery was not there, not even close. Northerners were very much white supremacists, too.

I think the war was the worst way to go about ending slavery. It jarred the nation and threw most ex slaves into conditions, practically speaking, far worse than what they had prior.
It would have taken another generation or maybe even 3 but slavery was dying in the South. Far better for it to have been gradual than sudden. For all.
Agreed, although I'm curious if slavery was really dying in the south. If, as you were saying, they were so gung-ho for slaves and willing to leave the nation and fight a war over it, then was it really dying?

That seems to directly conflict with your previous arguments. If slavery was dying out in the south, there would have been no reason to secede and no reason to go to war.

SC saw unwelcome warships in THEIR harbor. When they seceded that saw Sumter as, obviously, theirs and subsequently occupied by a then foreign nation. I think they should have offered to buy it but that's another issue. SC did not attack the Union. As for Lincoln, he HAD to have them firing the first shots. A great deal of public sentiment in the North was to let them go. In peace. Once the shooting started, all bets came off.
true. they were positioning themselves and saying "you can leave, but we're still in charge". I'm surprised Union troops got into Sumter, you'd think South Carolina would have ensured it was local boys in there.

So the Titanic had an navigation issues. Not a giant gaping hole in it.
Would they have had a gaping hole if not for the mistakes that were made that sent them crashing into it? I wouldn't call that navigation issues (that implies the rudder was broken), but there were a bunch of things that led to it. If the Titanic had simply gone in another direction or been further south, they wouldn't have had a giant gaping hole to begin with.

Quickly as I have to divert my attention to something else for a bit, and I addressed this notion to some extent in my previous post: You said it, South Carolina wanted those soldiers that were remaining loyal to the United States - to what at that point, from its perspective, was a foreign power - to leave its territory. Now, that may have in part been for emotional reasons - just wanting the pleasure of throwing them out, and not wanting the sensation of having to accept them still being there. But it was also in part for strategic reasons. War was likely coming, and the port of Charleston was enormously important to South Carolina and the Confederacy. And he who controlled Fort Sumter controlled the port of Charleston. They couldn't let the Union hold that Fort if war was coming, perhaps best to take it when doing so was as easy as it was going to get.
very true. Sumter is what got other states to secede, so they were probably trying to rally support. I'm not sure picking a fight was the best idea but they had to do something to get the foreign power out of there, I guess.
 

Larry Gude

Strung Out
While I can't argue with the fact that they did not secede in the 1820's and 30's over the issues they felt were worth seceding over, those issues did exist.

Again, would they have seceded over ONLY slavery, if every other issue were not on the table prior? How many angels can dance on the head of a pin? Both of those answers are equally easy to prove.
I'm reading you trying to make a moral equivalence, that going 56 in a 55 and going 55,000 in a 55 is BOTH speeding. Further, the way I read you is that the threat to slavery was the last straw meaning that there was no threat to it and then, with Lincoln, there was. That's not the case. There was a LOT of negotiation from the get go about slavery and, IIRC, Massachusetts wanted to secede in the 1820's to disassociate themselves FROM slavery.

If anything, slavery was THE issue from DAY ONE and all that other stuff were the rain drops.

Look. I am a native Marylander and that means I grew up with Northern and Southern sympathies. I GET both sides of the argument. White supremacy and equality. Orderly society v. a more free for all society. I am just as fond of Pat Cleburne as I am of Phil Sheridan and, like any real American, I get the ENORMOUS reverence for Robert E. Lee. I am torn, deeply, when I tour Gettsyburg or Antietam, hallowed ground I am lucky enough to live so near to. I live on ground that most of the Eastern heros, known and unknown, walk or rode over numerous times. The pull of states rights is as strong in me as the powerful pride of union. A big part of me thinks this is so much nit picking over flags just to avoid talking about mental illness. But, I also get that if my great great grandfather worked under threat of the whip in 1850 instead of threat of starvation when he came here of his own choosing I'd likely have a different perspective when I see the stars and bars. It has always inspired awe in me, the men who would pick it up from the bloody hands of the last man killed carrying it, KNOWING they'd likely soon be dead, fighting for their beliefs. Yet I am also inspired by the stars and stripes and men who did the exact same thing for union.

It's easy to say 'slavery is over' when you never were one. I made the point the other day, my grandfather, born and raised in Georgia, passed at 92. He was born in 1923. He KNEW people who were slaves. He probably knew people who owned them and THOSE people know people who were around in 1776. It was a long time ago but not THAT long.
 
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