slaphappynmd said:
You know, this is one of those articles that make you wonder why it even makes the paper. This is not a peer-reviewed bit of research - it's a paper done by someone at South Conn trying for their Master's - and it's not even their thesis. So basically, some schmuck wrote a paper for their class by interviewing a handful of psychotic people. 69 in fact, all from the same basic geography.
That's not what makes it laughable.
It's the leap of logic from the correlation. I don't care that the statistical methodology is never revealed. I don't care that they show no control group or scientific manner in which the sample was drawn. And it doesn't matter that it was supported - as though this was an expensive undertaking - by two persons, one of which is simply named as a "statistician" which means they could be an undergrad for all we know. And actually, it doesn't matter that they point to an old study suggesting a correlation between psychosis and voting for Nixon in '72 (Newsflash : the election of the Nixon in '72 was the second biggest landslide in US history. It'd be hard to select ANY SAMPLE that didn't show a correlation towards voting for Nixon).
No, what's weird is the bad syllogistic argument, which actually, the person involved doesn't make, but that the writer of the piece does. No one ever claimed brilliant logic from a journalist.
If true, someone has detected a correlation between deep psychosis and voting for Bush. In a sample as small as 69 - and done in Connecticut, not a state heavily carried by Bush in 2004 - unless they specifically selected only Bush voters to survey (which would invalidate the survey) - it's unlikely they could have had more than several dozen persons to examine, and unlikely they could compare levels of pychosis with more than a couple dozen, tops - and these of course, were outpatients.
If true someone was able to conclude a correlation between pychosis and voting for Bush. So the writer has decided to conclude that Bush voters who comprise more than half the voting population of the United States are more likely to be pychotic.
And this of course is stupid. You could just as well conclude that, by interviewing left-handed people at a left-handers convention that if most of them voted for Bush, that most voters for Bush are left handed. It's an invalid use of logic. Being from South Conn, what are the chances they're Yankee fans? Could we deduce from the study that Yankee fans are also psychotic?
You can't conclude that if a majority of Native Americans voted for Bush, that Bush voters are all Native Americans.
That's what makes me laugh.