Yooper
Up. Identified. Lase. Fire. On the way.
Okay, stat geeks. Have at it:
This is a relatively short post, but really statistic-y. Here's the penultimate "paragraph" (to whet your appetite):
I will have more to say in a bit about what I think this means/signals. But at this point I'll let the article stand on its own and see if anyone bites.
--- End of line (MCP)
Beware R0 Variance
The big push now re Covid19 is to use “social distancing” to cut “R0”, the rate at which infection spreads. More precisely, R0 is the average number of other people that one infected person would infect, if they were not already infected. With no efforts to reduce it, estimates for natural R0...
www.overcomingbias.com
This is a relatively short post, but really statistic-y. Here's the penultimate "paragraph" (to whet your appetite):
All of which is to say that suppressing a pandemic after it has escaped its initial place is very hard. Which is also to say, we probably won’t succeed.
I will have more to say in a bit about what I think this means/signals. But at this point I'll let the article stand on its own and see if anyone bites.
--- End of line (MCP)