Blog ~ TECHNOLOGY EVOLUTION IN 20TH CENTURY

Dakota

Dakota

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In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide.
Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they got bankrupt.
What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 10 year – and most people don’t see it coming. Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you would never take pictures on paper film again?
Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore’s law. So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a long time, before it became way superiour and got mainstream in only a few short years. It will now happen with Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs. Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution.
Welcome to the Exponential Age.

Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.
Uber is just a software tool, they don’t own.......................


https://medullarconcept.wordpress.com/2016/04/28/technology-evolution-in-20th-century/


Thoughts?
 
Larry Gude

Larry Gude

Strung Out
Dakota said:
Thoughts?
Click to expand...

Thoughts? Try this. Nuke should have LONG displaced coal and gas for electrical generation. It has not. Why? Because we artificially protect industries for political reasons AND nuke so threatened gas and coal that they found ways to remain competitive be it mechanization and productivity gains or cheaper distribution or whatever it took to save it.

Solar is not standing on it's own two feet and it is a long way from it.

In principle I totally agree; on paper all of that is possible and the ramifications are profound. Most of us have not yet even begun to consider it and still think there are all these jobs out there if people will only just go to work. The simple fact is that we need LESS and less workers every year and it is accelerating.

Cab drivers, truck drivers, all will (could) go away.
I've been spouting about the $1 trillion a year in car accidents that will go away.
I've been spouting about the 85% of medical costs that could be handled by a low cost practitioner that are nothing more than subsidies for the 15%.
Autonomous grass mowing.
The reduction in need for people at the fast food joint.
Hell, as is, 4 out of 5 gummint workers are doing make work.

The article is right; we are rapidly displacing job after job after job and haven't yet begin come to grips with just what to do when we reach 200 million working age American's have nothing to do and never mind the billions world wide that will be idle.
 
Dakota

Dakota

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The blog is clearly thought-provoking and the problem with solar is the cost at the moment. It is coming down but until it comes way down people are not going to want to invest.

Something else the blog does touch on is education. We are seeing vitual learning environments becoming very popular in some states and the outcome has been very good so far. I think we could see this expand by leaps and bounds in as little as 3 years.

I just don't know about cars disappearing... I am not willing to believe that could happen just yet. :shrug:
 
Larry Gude

Larry Gude

Strung Out
Clem72 said:
No more wait on this one, If your willing to drop $1k on a lawnmower. They have several different technologies from Roomba style (with radio freq. land markers) to wire-tracking.
Click to expand...

$1,000 for a mower, no Juan vs. $50 a mowing with Juan? 40 mowings break even.
 
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