Drop in Home Prices Forecast....

ylexot

Super Genius
Pandora said:
ylexot,

I will say no on that. I think some banks will allow you to use up to 60% of your montly income toward a house payment.
Yeah, it doesn't make a whole lot of sense to me either, but I thought that's what they said when I got my house. :shrug:
 

KCM

Right Where I Belong
Nickel said:
We just bought our house in December. Our mortgage company approved us for "x" dollars, because that is what they determined we could afford. Realistically, "x" was extremely high, but we had an understanding of our finances and knew, for ourselves, what we could afford. We ended up getting a good deal for considerably less than our ideal price, so we made out pretty well. I think that if someone doesn't go into it knowing what they can or cannot afford, and just buy a house at the high end of their approval spectrum, they might be in trouble.
:yeahthat: We bought our house in February and our lender basically told us that X was the amount we could afford. We ended up getting a VERY good deal on a home for much less then the lender said we could afford.
 

nomoney

....
When we purchased our home 7 years ago (being the first home we ever bought) we got an ARM. For us, this has worked out great. But I think it all depends on the circumstances and if even with the arm someone is stretching themselves too thin.

We were approved for a 200k mortgage back in the day. We knew this was too much and opted for our then 119k home. We got the arm at the introductory rate of 4.5%. It is now at 6%. It can go up a max of 1% or down a max 1% each year. 3% is the lowest it's been and 6% is the highest it's been and it is still well below our means. We have decided that when it get's to 8% if we're still in this home we'll refinance. But as of right now...why? It's still lower then most standard rates. And in the last 7 years I've paid off tons more equity in the home then we would have been able to with starting out with the standard interest rate which I believe was 7.5% at the time. Now with the housing boom it is VERY VERY tempting to trade up with our almost 200k in equity...but we haven't totally outgrown our little house yet and why break ourselves when we've gotten terribly comfortable with our under 1k a month house payment.

Like I said I can definantly see where getting an ARM for some people who are getting it simply to be able to get into their high end homes without thinking about the near future is a bad idea...but if you're smart and not greedy about it....it may work out okay.
 

Pandora

New Member
THAT is the key nomoney, you HAVE to be smart about it.

I am not going to give up simple things like being able to go out to dinner or to the movies because I made a poor decision to get into some insane monthly mortgage.
 

KCM

Right Where I Belong
Pandora said:
THAT is the key nomoney, you HAVE to be smart about it.

I am not going to give up simple things like being able to go out to dinner or to the movies because I made a poor decision to get into some insane monthly mortgage.
Exactly. Just because I am told I can "afford" a more expensive house, doesn't mean I really "need" to get that more expensive house and therefore a bigger mortgage payment.
 

ylexot

Super Genius
nomoney said:
We have decided that when it get's to 8% if we're still in this home we'll refinance. But as of right now...why? It's still lower then most standard rates.
Ummm, if your ARM gets to 8%, it will be because the mortgage rates have gone up. So, you'll end up refinancing to an even higher rate. The trick with ARMs is to get them when the rates are high because the rates are typically lower and then the rate will automatically get lower if rates come down. Then you refinance to fixed when you think rates hit the bottom.
 

nomoney

....
ylexot said:
Ummm, if your ARM gets to 8%, it will be because the mortgage rates have gone up. So, you'll end up refinancing to an even higher rate. The trick with ARMs is to get them when the rates are high because the rates are typically lower and then the rate will automatically get lower if rates come down. Then you refinance to fixed when you think rates hit the bottom.
true. I don't even know what they're at currently. But by the time that rolls around we'll probably sell and upgrade anyhow.
 

Pandora

New Member
nomoney said:
true. I don't even know what they're at currently. But by the time that rolls around we'll probably sell and upgrade anyhow.

6.25% fixed I believe, but they are on the way up.
 

Pete

Repete
kom526 said:
My FIL calls it house rich, mortgage poor. When my wife and I were looking to buy our 1st place (1995) we were approved for a $252,000 mortgage. Well she was a 2nd year teacher and I was still a couple of years from journeyman. There was no way in two hells we could have afforded that and do things like have electricity and eat. These folks who believe everything that mortgage companies tell them about what they qualify for really need a dose of reality.
This is a chronic problem with the lending industry. They allow people to clearly get in over their heads. When I bought my house I made a spreadsheet and calculated everything down to the penny. The mortgage I could comfortably afford was $189,000. I ended up having to go $199,000 but I had to cut back on savings. The bank came back with an approval of $260,000. No frickin way I could pay that mortgage and eat. Luckily the interest rate dropped half point and it ended up costing me less.

This problem with lending culminated with bankruptcy reform act last year. Lending and credit institutions lobbied hard and got it passed. Now I am a firm proponent of personal responsibility but it was :bs: The lending industry bombards people everyday with bazillions of credit offers willy nilly. They have access to all your data, they know that you have a mortgage, $1400, car payment $500, credit card $100, consumer loan $140, insurance, utilities, ect. all on a monthly income of $40K? And they think you are a worthy risk? :bs: They get people in trouble peddling credit like crack.

Now people have to be responsible and they are free to jam themselves up if they want to but the lending industry has to have some ethics as well. So what did they do, they got BRA passed so now people who are stupid enough to find themselves crushed under a mountain of debt can't even go bankrupt and start over, hopefully wiser. Now they have to sit through 7 or more years of structured payment plans and emerge no better off than they were before they went into it.
 

Hawkeyewife

New Member
Thanks! Very interesting. We moved here a few months ago and decided not to buy due to market conditions. Our friends that bought in the last couple of months swear that we have made a huge financial mistake. Time will only tell who will be laughing all the way to the bank, I am betting we'll be the winners though.
 

Azzy

New Member
Hawkeyewife said:
Thanks! Very interesting. We moved here a few months ago and decided not to buy due to market conditions. Our friends that bought in the last couple of months swear that we have made a huge financial mistake. Time will only tell who will be laughing all the way to the bank, I am betting we'll be the winners though.
I'm looking for something to rent and going through a real estate agent since most of the rental houses are listed through them. Shes trying to talk me into buying something instead of renting and I'm thinking I wanna wait.
 

ylexot

Super Genius
My general advice...buy when the rates are high and the prices are low (the prices will be low because of the low rates). When they reverse, refinance. Also, if rates are high, get an ARM. If they are low, get a fixed rate.
 

Chasey_Lane

Salt Life
Hawkeyewife said:
Time will only tell who will be laughing all the way to the bank, I am betting we'll be the winners though.
A homeowner has the advantage and always will. Well, at least that's my opinion. They have a tax shelter, whereas, renters just fork out money each month - money they will never get back. So much for winning, huh? :ohwell:
 
Chasey_Lane said:
A homeowner has the advantage and always will. Well, at least that's my opinion. They have a tax shelter, whereas, renters just fork out money each month - money they will never get back. So much for winning, huh? :ohwell:
But by that token, homeowners are also the ones responsible for roof replacements, septic fixes, furnance expenses, and the other things that can/will happen over a number of years. Renters get to go to their landlords when something goes wrong. I don't know that the interest write-off is enough to "bank" to counteract the actual expenses of being a homeowner...:shrug:
 

ylexot

Super Genius
kwillia said:
But by that token, homeowners are also the ones responsible for roof replacements, septic fixes, furnance expenses, and the other things that can/will happen over a number of years. Renters get to go to their landlords when something goes wrong. I don't know that the interest write-off is enough to "bank" to counteract the actual expenses of being a homeowner...:shrug:
The interest write-off is only part of it. There is also the equity part which will rise and fall with the market, but over time, it typically rises.
 

FromTexas

This Space for Rent
ylexot said:
The interest write-off is only part of it. There is also the equity part which will rise and fall with the market, but over time, it typically rises.
It almost never falls should be the primary statement there. Also, as long as you aren't a douche who got an interest only or 1 year variable loan you can only pay interest on after the first year, then you get equity with every payment. The renters will act happy right now, but they were also the ones biatching and moaning when everyone else was making 5-20% on their home each year. If I get only 2-3% on my home in growth each year, that is still $7k-$11k more than a renter got that year. :shrug:
 
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