Exactly right. I predict the leader of the Wagner Group will disappear as other Putin adversaries have.
See, that would be the case if Putin's adversary were just a journalist or politician. This man has an army. AND he had a chance to advance on Moscow and changed his mind - and they offered him "exile" in Belarus, drop all charges and none of his men suffer any consequences - in fact, any of them can contract again with the Russian government without reprisal.
So either it's a complete lie, or something ELSE is going on. What I heard was one, this guy has a LOT of appeal to a lot of Russians who want the war to be over. Two, he was REALLY banking on different oligarchs in Moscow switching to his side - since one of the inducements for the war for THEM was a boon from taking over the Donbas region - which they haven't been seeing.
They didn't join him. So invading Moscow wasn't going to be like Rostov on Don - a bloodless walk-in. Ditto Voronezh. Moscow would be a battle, and he could "win" but not for long.
So what was the deal he made? He KNOWS who Putin is - he KNOWS that Putin kills his enemies and people who make him look bad. So why exile to Belarus? Why not as far from Moscow as possible?
Something is happening, I just don't know what.