Housing inventory low, interest rates rise as Southern Maryland heads into Spring market

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HUGHESVILLE, Md. – April 18, 2022 As the weather starts to warm up, so does the real estate market typically. But from the beginning of 2021, the housing market in southern Maryland has shown some relatively new patterns.

The most recent data shows the ongoing inventory problems faced nationwide are seen on the micro-level across the region. New listings in March hit a five-year low in year-over-year data, down roughly 18.65% from the same time last year.

Additionally, active listings are not as abundant as last year, as are pending sales. Southern Maryland has seen a 7.29% drop in active listings from the same time last year and a 25.23% decrease in pending sales during the same time.

With such low inventory, there is less potential for sales to take place.

“Signs are showing that the low inventory issue is going to hang around for a while,” Southern Maryland Association of REALTORS® 2021-22 President Gregg G. Kantak said. “So, with more buyers than sellers, buyers continue to be up against some heavy competition, higher prices, and maybe even bidding wars. Buyers will have to work harder or wait a little longer to find their dream home.”

Although the total sold units and dollar volume sold decreased by 14.56% and 7.99%, respectively, home prices thrived. The median sold price across southern Maryland rose 11.43% from the same time last year.

But how long those prices continue to see drastic increases could slow as inflation grows.

While inflation drives many consumer decisions, some forget the impact it has on the real estate market. Economists from the National Association of REALTORS® are forecasting that due to soaring inflation, interest rates will rise, which will likely reduce the number of home sales while also slowing home price appreciation.

The market has already begun to see some likely impacts of these adjustments. When coupling rising interest rates with a lack of inventory, many buyers in southern Maryland cannot find the right home for them.

Although most homes on the market sold in 10 days or less, the average days on the market in southern Maryland during March was 18 days, three days less than it was in 2021.

“Mortgage rates have already started increasing in 2022. Like everything else, mortgage rates are influenced by the economy and inflation,” Kantak explained. “And the Federal Reserve has announced it plans to raise interest rates this year as part of its efforts to slow inflation. While that move alone will not directly impact mortgage rates, the overall change in the Federal Reserve’s policies will likely lead to increased interest rates for all borrowers. That is unfortunate because new buyers will pay more for their house over time.”

Housing market statistics from each county in the Southern Maryland region can be found below:

Calvert County
Units Sold: 130 (-1.98%)
Total Sales Volume: $ 55,972,850 (-16.25%)
Average Days On The Market: 17 (-7 Days from March 2021)
Median Sold Price: $386,000 (-3.50%)

Charles County
Units Sold: 239 (-14.03%)
Total Sales Volume: $ 103,900,682 (-0.73%)
Average Days On The Market: 19 (+2 Days from March 2021)
Median Sold Price: $417,000 (+18.21%)

St. Mary’s County
Units Sold: 165 (-13.61%)
Total Sales Volume: $ 60,652,549 (-11.05%)
Average Days On The Market: 18 (-6 Days from March 2021)
Median Sold Price: $350,050 (+7.71%)

Visit https://www.southernmarylandrealtors.org/pages/housing-statistics/ every month for additional details about the housing market in Southern Maryland. A video breakdown of the local statistics can be found on the SMAR YouTube page at:



Statistics for this article were compiled with cooperation from Bright MLS, a leading housing market data source and a real estate listing service for Realtors® throughout the region.
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More about the Southern Maryland Association of Realtors®:

The Southern Maryland Association of Realtors® represents the largest trade organization in the southern Maryland region, advocating on behalf of over 1,800 members and affiliates. SMAR advocates for property rights and provides insights regarding the local real estate market.
 

NextJen

Raisin cane
Looks like I’m selling at just the right time. Listed my home late Thursday, had 5 scheduled showings on Friday, open house on Saturday, and accepted an offer on Easter Sunday.
I may sit tight and see what the market does before I buy again.
 

zar

Theist
I would not sell unless it’s for a very good reason if you will be without a home. There are currently 400,000 listings for the whole country, during normal times there are millions. It will take years for inventory to build up. No crash coming, I don’t think so. A recession should take us to normal appreciation rates of 7-8% per year. Prices will keep going up until the brakes are hit on inflation
 

NextJen

Raisin cane
I would not sell unless it’s for a very good reason if you will be without a home.
Thankfully I own another, smaller place that I can stay at indefinitely. I could also temporarily stay with my daughter or BFF in a pinch. I’m fortunate to be in the position I’m in. My current home I’m selling is way too big for me. I thought of renting the basement, but wouldn’t feel comfortable with a stranger in my home. So I’ll be ‘livin’ in a van down by the river!’ 😄
 

RoseRed

American Beauty
PREMO Member
Thankfully I own another, smaller place that I can stay at indefinitely. I could also temporarily stay with my daughter or BFF in a pinch. I’m fortunate to be in the position I’m in. My current home I’m selling is way too big for me. I thought of renting the basement, but wouldn’t feel comfortable with a stranger in my home. So I’ll be ‘livin’ in a van down by the river!’ 😄
So you are staying in the area?
 

RoseRed

American Beauty
PREMO Member
Yes. From Calvert to Charles - Port Tobacco. Eyeballin’ Murrell’s Inlet as possible destination in the future, just not sure how far in the future yet.
Love OBX! I used to go twice a year, until my cousins sold their beach house in KDH.
 

Gilligan

#*! boat!
PREMO Member
Love OBX! I used to go twice a year, until my cousins sold their beach house in KDH.
There seems to be an exodus recently of sothin Merlin folks moving to OBX..or at least buying a vacation home there. I have three friends that have done that, or are in the process, in just the last few years.
 

RoseRed

American Beauty
PREMO Member
There seems to be an exodus recently of sothin Merlin folks moving to OBX..or at least buying a vacation home there. I have three friends that have done that, or are in the process, in just the last few years.
I've heard the same thing.
 
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