JPC vote pool

bcp

In My Opinion
Support Orders:
Total Number of cases 4,369
Cases with Orders Established 3,712

IV-D Caseloads:
Number of Chidlren Born out of Wedlock
2,969
Children with Paternities Established 2,886
Cases with Support Orders 3,712
Number of Cases Paying 3,227
Represents at least one payment During the fiscal year

Now if we look at the above numbers that reflect the child support in St Mary's we can see that out of the 3,712 cases of support ordered, 3,227 cases are being paid (at least one payment during the fiscal year) we can then assume that in the other 485 cases the recieving parent has been Cusicked (Cusicked, a term used to define being starved due to witholding of child support from the lazy uncaring sperm donor)

This breaks down to roughly a 13% (actually a little higher but this works) of the child support community being deadbeats.
Since we know that there are 4,369 cases and out of those 3,712 have been decided we also realize that there are 657 cases yet to be decided.

If we use that same 13% number against an assumed 657 support orders yet to come, we can figure that roughly 85 of those cases will turn into deatbeats.

So, we have our original 485 + our soon to come 85 giving us a total of 570 Cusickers that will be in the county of voting age.

Based on the above numbers, I put my vote in for a total of 560 total votes to be cast for JPC.
I come to this number by thinking that of the 570 deadbeats that are in the county, at least 10 will be in jail for nonpayment during the election and therefore will be unable to slither up to the machine to cast their drug induced vote.

I thank you for allowing me to guess the total.
 
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Tonio

Asperger's Poster Child
bcp said:
Based on the above numbers, I put my vote in for a total of 560 total votes to be cast for JPC.
Excellent scientific approach. I think it's funny to speculate that JPC would win the deadbeat-parent vote. Poster: "Tired of paying child support? Vote for Cusick!"

But I see a flaw in your theory. I suspect most of the Cusickers, like most welfare recipients, don't vote and don't follow the political process. I believe only a small percentage have even heard of JPC, and that an even smaller percentage make the connection between his stance on child support and their own status as deadbeat parents.

I think among the people who would vote for JPC, most aren't aren't familiar with his Forum posts and only know him from the newspaper voter guides. I find that sad in a way, because his statements here deserve to be known by as many voters in my district as possible. Even the papers haven't run much lately on his court record.
 

Pete

Repete
Exit polling shows that JPC has a 11% lead over Bohanon.

And a monkey just flew out of my ass.
 

Tonio

Asperger's Poster Child
Hey Pete, when did you get unbanned?

What is the deadline for predictions? The polls close at 8 p.m.
 

Pete

Repete
Tonio said:
Hey Pete, when did you get unbanned?

What is the deadline for predictions? The polls close at 8 p.m.
Well I got unbanned Sunday, then in a moment of weakness I got banned again until this morning.

This pool was closed when the polls opened..
 
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