whattolearn
New Member
Just joined. Came here because I noticed no thread on this subject. So maybe this thread will get it started and the interchange will benefit everyone. 
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Online Stock Trading
- Thread starter whattolearn
- Start date
Chasey_Lane
Salt Life
I have several million in stocks. I hope to cash-out soon, though - I can't wait to retire at 30! 
whattolearn
New Member
That's a nice situation to have!Chasey_Lane said:I have several million in stocks. I hope to cash-out soon, though - I can't wait to retire at 30!
Just don't want to trust the market TOO much, though... but with that kind of portfolio you're probably in other things too so you already know.I think what we could do here is anybody who wants can mention one or two stocks for analysis, and I'll look them over and give the best prediction I can and then we can watch to see what happens... a lot of people think the market is just another form of "gambling" and this would show that it's often quite predictable... so give me a couple stocks and we'll see.
Key Technology
http://www.keyww.com/
http://www.keyww.com/
whattolearn
New Member
DoWhat said:
okay- KTEC. it's entering a volatility phase; tendency to trade more northbound than southbound today and Friday, though with some lows sprinkled in but probably not lower than $10.50. Offers scalping opportunity for traders looking for only 5%-10% gains. Great market uncertainty right now about this one; should clarify in a day or two. Again, it is TENDING sideways to north, but this is a turning point. wish i could be more clear, but the truth is the truth.
on tenera- lol- are you kidding? it WAS amex about 8 years ago but is now bye-bye
as far as i can figure (if you have current symbol please advise). btw, any other posters, please provide stock symbol if you know it. saves time.whattolearn
New Member
dowhat- sorry about that. tenera DOES exist. had to tramp thru long paper trail to find it. they left amex awhile back, now on pink sheets as TNRA. that's why giving me symbol is so important- just makes it easier. okay, gimme a minute to look it over now that i found the little devil...DoWhat said:
whattolearn
New Member
TNRA.
dowhat- QUESTION- have you ever been able to SELL any of your holding in this? it's one of the most illiquid stocks i've ever seen... skips trading days in big chunks, volumes really low... that recent .13 spike looks to me like an insider play for cash- no way recent buyers were able to exit i think...
here's the chart (when you get there just click on the chart to see all the zero trade days)
TNRA chart
and here's their withdrawal from SEC registration
TNRA withdrawal from SEC reg
anyhow, stocks like this- with many trading day gaps and scanty volume- just defy analysis. most traders stay clear of them for this reason and because it's usually insiders in line to sell 'way ahead of us... i could be wrong- this might be a gold mine- but that's what i see...
dowhat- QUESTION- have you ever been able to SELL any of your holding in this? it's one of the most illiquid stocks i've ever seen... skips trading days in big chunks, volumes really low... that recent .13 spike looks to me like an insider play for cash- no way recent buyers were able to exit i think...
here's the chart (when you get there just click on the chart to see all the zero trade days)
TNRA chart
and here's their withdrawal from SEC registration
TNRA withdrawal from SEC reg
anyhow, stocks like this- with many trading day gaps and scanty volume- just defy analysis. most traders stay clear of them for this reason and because it's usually insiders in line to sell 'way ahead of us... i could be wrong- this might be a gold mine- but that's what i see...
whattolearn
New Member
Imx
IMX
PONYTAIL- problem with forum so i don't see your post but got it from my email notice...
appears to be in a nice steady recovery pattern. immediate next few days may see sideways or southbound trading...
chart
but you asked about next couple of YEARS... biotech (or any other sector for that matter) is subject to news and changes in the overall market so forecasts that far ahead are difficult (and i would say nearly impossible). i have the mentality of a daytrader (in today, out today) and the practice of a swingtrader (in today and out within a week at most). i honestly don't trust any stock enough to get married to it. on fundamentals, IMX appears to be in a growth industry (explosives detection for homeland security, so you may be correct in taking a long term view). it is further connected to some govt grant money, which helps stabilize earnings. it's showing a negative earnings per share just now, but that is often the case with newer co's, as they tend to invest heavily in r&d or mktg. balance sheet of 6/04 shows cost of revenue as about 75% of revenue, which i personally don't like, and what appears to be quite a lot of follow-on red ink, but i'm a technical analyst not a "fundamental analyst". Bottom line, when red ink continues for great length of time, co's start relying more and more on stock sales and are tempted to issue more stock, diluting previous shares.
see: http://www.nasdaq.com/asp/ExtendFund.asp?&kind=&mode=basics&symbol=IMX&selected=IMX&FormType=&mkttype=&pathname=&page=full
A nasdaq analyst forecasts $10 within a year...
http://quotes.nasdaq.com/asp/summaryquote.asp?&mode=stock&mode=basics&symbol=IMX&selected=IMX
so is this helpful?
IMX
PONYTAIL- problem with forum so i don't see your post but got it from my email notice...
appears to be in a nice steady recovery pattern. immediate next few days may see sideways or southbound trading...
chart
but you asked about next couple of YEARS... biotech (or any other sector for that matter) is subject to news and changes in the overall market so forecasts that far ahead are difficult (and i would say nearly impossible). i have the mentality of a daytrader (in today, out today) and the practice of a swingtrader (in today and out within a week at most). i honestly don't trust any stock enough to get married to it. on fundamentals, IMX appears to be in a growth industry (explosives detection for homeland security, so you may be correct in taking a long term view). it is further connected to some govt grant money, which helps stabilize earnings. it's showing a negative earnings per share just now, but that is often the case with newer co's, as they tend to invest heavily in r&d or mktg. balance sheet of 6/04 shows cost of revenue as about 75% of revenue, which i personally don't like, and what appears to be quite a lot of follow-on red ink, but i'm a technical analyst not a "fundamental analyst". Bottom line, when red ink continues for great length of time, co's start relying more and more on stock sales and are tempted to issue more stock, diluting previous shares.
see: http://www.nasdaq.com/asp/ExtendFund.asp?&kind=&mode=basics&symbol=IMX&selected=IMX&FormType=&mkttype=&pathname=&page=full
A nasdaq analyst forecasts $10 within a year...
http://quotes.nasdaq.com/asp/summaryquote.asp?&mode=stock&mode=basics&symbol=IMX&selected=IMX
so is this helpful?
whattolearn
New Member
PONYTAIL- you also asked about PIPS. There are two kinds of "pips"- one refers to the number of places after the decimal that a stock broker or forex exchange permits you to use in trading (in forex it's the smallest denomination in a currency, e.g., a penny in US funds).. but i assume that you are referring to a Performance Index Paper, which is kind of like a short-term stock but you are basically speculating on currency fluctuations with it. i don't know much else about them.
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whattolearn
New Member
hanoon said:
ADL
HANOON- ADL is showing a very high volatility index right now. this means there are very large price swings. volatility is simply a measure of recent prices against normal deviation among prices over a specified period. a simple way to look at it is if a stock is going along for a week between 1.25 and 1.50, and then suddenly goes down to say .95 or up to say 1.99, the volatility volatility chart will register this as increased volatility.
interesting question. thanks.whattolearn said:ADL
HANOON- ADL is showing a very high volatility index right now. this means there are very large price swings. volatility is simply a measure of recent prices against normal deviation among prices over a specified period. a simple way to look at it is if a stock is going along for a week between 1.25 and 1.50, and then suddenly goes down to say .95 or up to say 1.99, the volatility volatility chart will register this as increased volatility.
Thanks for your great informations and for answering all the questions but
is what you mean that whenever there is a sharp increase or decrease means that this stock has a sudden changes up or down in the period of time and when the chart going up means the sudden change was increase and when the chart goes down means it was decrease...\\
am i understand or you think i have a wrong idea.?
whattolearn
New Member
yes- i'd say that's the general idea of a volatility index... but when the index is going UP that doesn't necessarily mean the price is going up- it just means there are strong up OR down changes related to pricehanoon said:
hope this helped
fishinfool
Among other things
Is online trading the most cost effective way to buy and sell individual stocks? Over the years I have thought of buying several different stocks, never did it and watched some them really go then kick myself in the but for not going through with it. Right now I'm thinking about Satelite radio stock. Namely, Sirius. XM might be local and more established right now but I think Sirius is making better associations with other major bluechip companies.
whattolearn
New Member
DoWhat said:
Ya never know!-- i sure hope so- just for you!
whattolearn
New Member
fishinfool said:
uh, yes- i would say it's very cost effective, unless you can buy them through your employer. some no-frills online brokers are only $5 per trade. but direct discussion with a broker to buy/sell costs more- $14 a chat and up... you could be on to something there with the satellite radio thing- i'm not sure- but you sound like an "investor" (long-term), not a "trader" (short-term). for long-term stuff, try to find a co on amex, nyse, toronto, or vancouver xchgs. that is, you (almost) never want to be an "investor" in any pinksheets or otcbb stocks. (rarely, and only if you can really afford to lose the cash) frankly, i don't trust ANY stock enough to get married to it. when you've picked a satellite co, give me the SYMBOL here and i'll take a look- you'd be amazed how many co's have very similar names in the stock market ...
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fishinfool
Among other things
whattolearn said:uh, yes- i would say it's very cost effective, unless you can buy them through your employer. some no-frills online brokers are only $5 per trade. but direct discussion with a broker to buy/sell costs more- $14 a chat and up... you could be on to something there with the satellite radio thing- i'm not sure- but you sound like an "investor" (long-term), not a "trader" (short-term). for long-term stuff, try to find a co on amex, nyse, toronto, or vancouver xchgs. that is, you (almost) never want to be an "investor" in any pinksheets or otcbb stocks. (rarely, and only if you can really afford to lose the cash) frankly, i don't trust ANY stock enough to get married to it. when you've picked a satellite co, give me the SYMBOL here and i'll take a look- you'd be amazed how many co's have very similar names in the stock market ...
SIRI