I think that the best model that one can use to guage success in the Middle East would be Russia. The people of the Soviet Union were a lot like the folks in the Middle East. The rulers live very well, they have their pet cronies who live less well but who prop up their providers, and then you have the real working class. Before I write anything else... I know there are a few Democrats who will read that last statement and get set to pounce on me by saying that's how things are in the US. In a way they would be right, but there's one immense difference. In these countries you can't do a dang things about your plight. What you do, where you do it, and what you get for your labor is determined for you. The social and power structures in these countries are designed to maintain a status quo. That's not the case in the US. Granted, the odds of success may tip one way or the other in the US, but there's no tip that's too big to overcome through sustained hard work and application of initiative.
Anyway... while these people are not insulated from Western culture and ideals, they don't actively seek a change due to social and political pressures. They are told that wanting Western things is evil, bad, etc. The fact that their leaders regularly enjoy these gets lost in the process. I would equate it to you watching videos from Hawaii or some other tropical paradise. You know it exists, you know it's a great place, you know that it sure beats the hell out of Maryland, but you don't go about trying to move there or change Baltimore into Honolulu. So... you envy the heck out of the folks who get to live there and then go out and shovel the snow.
I am a full supporter of occupying Iraq just as we did Europe. Once we bring freedom and democracy to Iraq, then the concepts of freedom and democracy aren't some far away, unattainable thing. Now they are a reality, and a closeby one that folks in Iran, Jordan, Syria, etc., can see close up everyday. Once Iraqis start reaping the rewards of freedom, the leaders of other countries are going to have a really tough time selling the notion that freedom in America is all a fraud. Once that happens, the dictatorships and fifedoms of the Middle East will fall just like the Soviet Union and Communism did.
I just got a postcard on Tuesday from a local kid I helped get into the Marines, who just went into Iraq earlier this month. He took some time out of his busy day to thank me for helping him, as he now understands why the World needs people like Americans. He says the Iraqi people are fantastic and very appreciative of what were doing. And he says that he's looking forward to hunting down the "vocal minority" who are out there trying to defend the status quo.
So to answer Larry's question, once we stabilize Iraq and get the benefits of freedom and democracy flowing, and people in other countries see the benefits of it, yes, they will be very much in favor of doing the same things in their countries. Remember that Poland was the first Soviet Bloc country to do this, and it wasn't long before all of the rest of the countries were following suit.