glhs837
Power with Control
So, this ones about RLCs and why they are not a good thing. Every point below can be backed up with real independent verifiable data, as I have done multiple times in the past.
1. They do reduce the incidence of red light running. Although available data indicates that they mostly reduce the last second go/no go sort, the person who see's the yellow might make it, might not and makes a choice to go. Since our lights in question have a full second overlap, meaning that if you are facing red, the green folks will be red for a full second before you get green. meaning if they run it at the quarter second of yellow, nobody is in the intersection when they do. Folks who just blow through long after it's red, like the lady who killed Commissioner Morgan's wife, the cameras do not reduce those much if at all, since those people are usually mentally checked (phone, drunk, kids screaming in the back, whatever) out when they run the red.
2. They might reduce the incidence of T-bone crashes, data's a bit mixed on that. Studies go either way
3. They increase the amount of rear end collisions, all studies agree on that. How much compared to the decrease-bones? Studies seem to come down on the side of, at best, it's a wash. Counting costs, seems it's about the same. You of course have a greater individual benefit to those who are saved from T-bones, at a greater overall cost to the larger numbers of people involved in rear end collisions. So, if in three years, you have one T-bone with serious injury, and that's prevented, but over those three years, you increase the rear end collisionsfrom 5 to 15, is that a better deal?
4. So, if you want to know if your deployed systems are effective, you must have either control intersections similar to the ones you change, or you must have before and after data. Do we have either of those? I submit no. Not enough similar intersections to the proposed ones (basically every light from Route 4 down to Gate 2) and unless I miss my guess, no accurate before data. I think the "study" used to pick them was a survey by the vendor of traffic counts per hour and spotted incidences of red light runners, with no actual crash and result data being considered.
End result, IMO, not enough chance of a significant increase in public safety to make the downside
So, the above is about effectiveness. The next bit is about the cost.
1. So, it's a money making venture. More citations = more money. No points, no insurance notification, of course, so the deterrence factor is lower. Do I think there is really enough light running in the county at $75 bucks a pop to make both the company and the county money? Nope, but as many jurisdictions are doing I would expect them to go right into "right on red" citations, tons of money to be made there. and the ever popular "Stop Line" offense, which causes oh so many accidents
2. The biggest issues with these other than effectiveness is shenanigans with review, since that is one of the biggest cost drivers. There is supposed to be a sworn officer reviewing these things, each and every one. One deceased Baltimore officer signed off on 2,000 of them
Combine that with a streamlined "appeal" process, and getting out of an erroneous one can be a bit of a pain.
So, at the end of it, once you remove the profit/revenue factor, do we as a county get enough of a gain in safety from some slight decrease in what I imagine is an already low incidence of crashes from red light runners to accept to inevitable increases in rear end collisions? Do we have enough data on what the historical data has been? On crashes, not some guy in a car counting runners who don't hit anything.
1. They do reduce the incidence of red light running. Although available data indicates that they mostly reduce the last second go/no go sort, the person who see's the yellow might make it, might not and makes a choice to go. Since our lights in question have a full second overlap, meaning that if you are facing red, the green folks will be red for a full second before you get green. meaning if they run it at the quarter second of yellow, nobody is in the intersection when they do. Folks who just blow through long after it's red, like the lady who killed Commissioner Morgan's wife, the cameras do not reduce those much if at all, since those people are usually mentally checked (phone, drunk, kids screaming in the back, whatever) out when they run the red.
2. They might reduce the incidence of T-bone crashes, data's a bit mixed on that. Studies go either way
3. They increase the amount of rear end collisions, all studies agree on that. How much compared to the decrease-bones? Studies seem to come down on the side of, at best, it's a wash. Counting costs, seems it's about the same. You of course have a greater individual benefit to those who are saved from T-bones, at a greater overall cost to the larger numbers of people involved in rear end collisions. So, if in three years, you have one T-bone with serious injury, and that's prevented, but over those three years, you increase the rear end collisionsfrom 5 to 15, is that a better deal?
4. So, if you want to know if your deployed systems are effective, you must have either control intersections similar to the ones you change, or you must have before and after data. Do we have either of those? I submit no. Not enough similar intersections to the proposed ones (basically every light from Route 4 down to Gate 2) and unless I miss my guess, no accurate before data. I think the "study" used to pick them was a survey by the vendor of traffic counts per hour and spotted incidences of red light runners, with no actual crash and result data being considered.
End result, IMO, not enough chance of a significant increase in public safety to make the downside
So, the above is about effectiveness. The next bit is about the cost.
1. So, it's a money making venture. More citations = more money. No points, no insurance notification, of course, so the deterrence factor is lower. Do I think there is really enough light running in the county at $75 bucks a pop to make both the company and the county money? Nope, but as many jurisdictions are doing I would expect them to go right into "right on red" citations, tons of money to be made there. and the ever popular "Stop Line" offense, which causes oh so many accidents
2. The biggest issues with these other than effectiveness is shenanigans with review, since that is one of the biggest cost drivers. There is supposed to be a sworn officer reviewing these things, each and every one. One deceased Baltimore officer signed off on 2,000 of them
So, at the end of it, once you remove the profit/revenue factor, do we as a county get enough of a gain in safety from some slight decrease in what I imagine is an already low incidence of crashes from red light runners to accept to inevitable increases in rear end collisions? Do we have enough data on what the historical data has been? On crashes, not some guy in a car counting runners who don't hit anything.