Trump campaign rallies led to more than 30,000 coronavirus cases, Stanford researchers say
bullshit
President Trump’s campaign rallies have resulted in an
estimated 30,000 coronavirus cases and
likely led to more than 700 deaths, Stanford University researchers say.
In a
new study published Friday, researchers looked at 18 of Trump’s rallies between June 20, the date of the president’s return to the campaign trail in Tulsa, Okla., and Sept. 30.
They analyzed the trajectory of coronavirus cases in counties that hosted the rallies compared to similar counties and estimated that the events “ultimately resulted in more than 30,000 incremental confirmed cases of COVID-19” and “likely led to more than 700 deaths,” though not necessarily among attendees.
Trump’s rallies fit the bill for the researchers’ study due to their mass appeal — with thousands if not tens of thousands of attendees, researchers said — and their “low” adherence to masking “in part because the Trump campaign downplayed the risk of infection.” Three of the events were indoors, while the rest, including
Trump’s post-convention rally in Londonderry, N.H., were outdoors.
“Our analysis strongly supports the warnings and recommendations of public health officials concerning the risk of COVID-19 transmission at large group gatherings, particularly when the degree of compliance with guidelines concerning the use of masks and social distancing is low,” researchers, led by Stanford economics professor B. Douglas Bernheim, wrote. “The communities in which Trump rallies took place paid a high price in terms of disease and death.”
President Trump’s campaign rallies have resulted in an estimated 30,000 coronavirus cases and likely led to more than 700 deaths, Stanford University researchers say.
www.bostonherald.com
STANFORD STUDY SEEKS TO QUANTIFY INFECTIONS STEMMING FROM TRUMP RALLIES
Based on their models, the researchers concluded that on average, the 18 events produced increases in confirmed cases of more than 250 per 100,000 residents.
Extrapolating that figure to the 18 rallies, they concluded that the gatherings ultimately resulted in more than 30,000 confirmed cases of Covid-19 and that the rallies had “likely led to more than 700 deaths,” though those deaths would not necessarily have occurred solely among attendees.
The paper,
posted on academic websites and
on Twitter by its authors days before the presidential election, is likely to be contentious. Public health officials in states and counties where Mr. Trump has held rallies said in interviews this week that it was impossible to tie particular infections or outbreaks to the gatherings for several reasons: Caseloads are rising over all, rally attendees often travel from other locations, contact tracing is not always complete, and contact tracers do not always know where infected people have been.
Judd Deere, a White House spokesman, dismissed the study as “a politically driven model based on flawed assumptions and meant to shame Trump supporters.”
It's all speculation and guess work ........ offering NO Definitive PROOF
Extrapolating = pulling numbers out of there asses .... making ASSUMPTIONS