Your big snow chance this year

[Hessian]

Is it First Winter in SoMd?

...get all your valuable posessions off the floor in your basement.

Here is what you need to know...

a) Ground Freezes

b) Weathermen say we might get a Blizzard!...temps creep up to 35 degrees.

c) Soaking rain dumps 2-3 inches on SoMd and it can't soak in: So it goes in your basement...requiring hours of wet-vac & hauling out smelly carpets.

d) Discover your HS fotos, diplomas, and childhood treasures covered in mold within 3 days.

Welcome to Southern Maryland Winter!

 

[Kain99]

I dunno... Tony Perkins was looking awflully nevrvous about the snow possibilty this morning.

 

[GWguy]

...get all your valuable posessions off the floor in your basement.

Here is what you need to know...

a) Ground Freezes

b) Weathermen say we might get a Blizzard!...temps creep up to 35 degrees.

c) Soaking rain dumps 2-3 inches on SoMd and it can't soak in: So it goes in your basement...requiring hours of wet-vac & hauling out smelly carpets.

d) Discover your HS fotos, diplomas, and childhood treasures covered in mold within 3 days.

Welcome to Southern Maryland Winter!

That happened to me a number of years ago in NY, very same conditions, ruined the carpet and walls as the water flooded in over the sill plate.

 

[twinoaks207]

I dunno... Tony Perkins was looking awflully nevrvous about the snow possibilty this morning.

Perhaps he was anticipating getting made fun of by our new President?

(sorry, couldn't help it -- it was there, I had to take it, I'll go slink off to Politics now....)

 

[kwillia]

I dunno... Tony Perkins was looking awflully nevrvous about the snow possibilty this morning.

You know how it works for us... because of the affects of the mountain ridge to our west and that fact that we are nestled near the water, nobody can predict what will happen until it happens. When it comes from the south, the forecast will FOREVER be... maybe tons of rain... maybe tons of snow... DEPENDS on where the freeze line falls and that is subject to change hourly.

I remember back in the end of 1990s watching TV and all channels reporting flurries while I was watching the snow out my windo build to OVER a foot and still falling.

I also remember a few years back when a horrendous rain storm blew thru the beginning of February and a down burst blew over our house and took out a path of trees in the woods behind us! I'd rather have snow...

 

[OldHillcrestGuy]

...get all your valuable posessions off the floor in your basement.

Here is what you need to know...

a) Ground Freezes

b) Weathermen say we might get a Blizzard!...temps creep up to 35 degrees.

c) Soaking rain dumps 2-3 inches on SoMd and it can't soak in: So it goes in your basement...requiring hours of wet-vac & hauling out smelly carpets.

d) Discover your HS fotos, diplomas, and childhood treasures covered in mold within 3 days.

Welcome to Southern Maryland Winter!

That is so true, could very well happen. In the next couple of days we better hope for a bit of a thaw to soften the ground. Ive already thought about this happening, you know we will be in the rain area always happens.

 

[belvak]

which "Mike" are we supposed to buy? I don't want to get the wrong one!

(...hope he's not too expensive...)

I just had to take advantage of that one!! Gotta love a great typo!!

BTW, love your avatar!!

 

[twinoaks207]

I just had to take advantage of that one!! Gotta love a great typo!!

BTW, love your avatar!!

Thanks! I enjoy seeing the ones that you find -- you were my first inspiration with the witch flying into the pole in October.

Thank God for the "edit" option -- it's saved me more than once!

 

[cattitude]

You know how it works for us... because of the affects of the mountain ridge to our west and that fact that we are nestled near the water, nobody can predict what will happen until it happens. When it comes from the south, the forecast will FOREVER be... maybe tons of rain... maybe tons of snow... DEPENDS on where the freeze line falls and that is subject to change hourly.

I remember back in the end of 1990s watching TV and all channels reporting flurries while I was watching the snow out my windo build to OVER a foot and still falling.

I also remember a few years back when a horrendous rain storm blew thru the beginning of February and a down burst blew over our house and took out a path of trees in the woods behind us! I'd rather have snow...

Yep...

And this past Tuesday, I was shoveling 3 - 4 inches of snow out of my driveway and the weather people were saying we had dusting in Southern Maryland.

Although after all was said and done, Bob Ryan did say "Calvert" had 3 inches.

 

[rwethereyet]

Where is Truby with an update?

 

[onel0126]

I dunno... Tony Perkins was looking awflully nevrvous about the snow possibilty this morning.

Tony Perkins is not a met. He, like his counterpart Al Roker, READS the NWS forecasts. It's funny. FOX5 has 2 real mets--but they play second fiddle to Sue Palka and Tony Perkins.

 

[7dgirl]

10:45 am ET
A few paths to choose from: Well, by now you've heard about the potential for a big winter storm. The hype machine is already in full-effect by some. Let's take a more rational look at the storm.


The one factor everyone needs to remember is that the potential winter storm is still 3 to 4 days away. Computer weather models have a tendency to flip-flop between different forecast scenarios from one model run to another.

A model run, by the way, is the time when a computer program produces a possible future weather scenario given the atmospheric conditions at the present time. Generally speaking, this is done about 2 to 4 times a day (a few weather models, however, are run every 2 to 3 hours).

So with that information in hand, it's quite difficult to hang your hat on a definitive forecast for this winter storm. The one thing we can say for certain is that there will be a winter storm over the eastern third of the country beginning on Monday and through all of Tuesday.

Computer weather models have been depicting two different storm tracks which you can see below:




Possible storm tracks



The interior track (Georgia to western Pennsylvania) will spell out very heavy snow (and in some cases possible blizzard conditions) for the the Appalachians and into western Pennsylvania and western New York. Heavy rain would fall along the East Coast including the I-95 corridor.

The more eastern track (Georgia to New Jersey/Long Island) would result in a heavy snowfall for locations east of the Appalachians including the big cities of the Northeastern I-95 corridor.

Models are currently trending toward the more eastern track but the finer details remain up in the air including the intensity of the storm and the speed of movement.

Keep it here at weather.com and The Weather Channel as we continue to fine-tune the forecast today and during the weekend.

Finally, we have one more thing to mention. In terms of destruction and costliness, this storm will come nowhere even close to the historic ice storm which struck Oklahoma, Missouri, Arkansas and Kentucky. In fact, there will be little to no ice associated with this storm. It will be your classic winter storm complete with heavy snow, high winds, and cold temperatures.

 

[Ray]

Track has shifted much further east according to the NWS Sterling update this evening and has done so for at least several runs. They state that this means colder here and more precipitation eastern half of area . They will make wholesale changes to the forecast if this trend continues for another couple of runs.

 

[Bay_Kat]

Track has shifted much further east according to the NWS Sterling update this evening and has done so for at least several runs. They state that this means colder here and more precipitation eastern half of area . They will make wholesale changes to the forecast if this trend continues for another couple of runs.

Watching the weather channel, you'd think it was Christmas all over again. They are so excited.

 

[BOP]

You're a GIRL and talking like that?

Kinda hot, ain't it?

 

[Kain99]

Track has shifted much further east according to the NWS Sterling update this evening and has done so for at least several runs. They state that this means colder here and more precipitation eastern half of area . They will make wholesale changes to the forecast if this trend continues for another couple of runs.

Update?

 

[7dgirl]

AccuWeather.com is predicting another winter storm for the big cities along the Northeast's Interstate 95 corridor early this coming week. This storm may be followed by several more as the unfolding weather pattern seems to indicate a stormy February and early March.

Evan Myers Reflects on Eastern Storms

Who Receives the Rain or Snow
Storm Track Critical to Storm's Outcome
East Coast Flooding Threat
Damaging Storm Threat
Anticipated Storm Impacts
Groundhog Day Weather
Snow Forecast for the Deep South
Storm Threat Discussed by Ken and Bernie
Potential Alaskan Volcano Eruption
Ice-Induced Fires in Evansville
Indianapolis Roof Collapses
Many Still Without Power From Last Storm

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WEATHER NEWS: Big Cities Along I-95 Corridor Most Likely to Get Snow

A severe winter storm will target the East Monday (Groundhog Day) into Tuesday. The track will be critical in determining who will be dealing with heavy snow.

AccuWeather.com Expert Meteorologist Joe Bastardi says the weather pattern unfolding upon the start of February has the potential to yield several major snowstorms in the East over the next four- to six-week period. These storms could boost snowfall for the year above normal in areas that have received little snow so far this season.


SR. Meteorologist Rob Miller with the latest The busy storm track indicates that temperatures could be sent on more of a roller coaster ride, rather than just remaining bitterly cold or mild.

A Look at the Range of Scenarios
There are still several scenarios for the track of the "Groundhog Day Storm," which is not expected to develop until the Sunday-Sunday night time frame over the western Gulf of Mexico. Current thinking here at AccuWeather.com is that a track along or close to the East Coast is most likely.

The path the storm takes is critical in determining who gets rain, who gets snow and who gets damaging thunderstorms. Snow will fall to the west of the storm's path, while mostly rain will fall to the east.

A path west of the Appalachians seems to be the least likely path. This path would allow mostly rain to fall in the Northeast. This scenario would cause some potentially serious flooding issues with both heavy rain and melting snow in New England.

An eastward shift in the track of the storm seems most likely, which would draw colder air and bring snow instead of rain to the major cities along the Interstate 95 corridor. It would also limit the heavy amount of snow that is expected to fall in the recently hard-hit Tennessee and Ohio valleys.

Damaging thunderstorms are likely to affect Florida, mainly from Orlando on south, regardless of a track farther west or east.

Behind the system, very cold air will be sent into the Northeast by gusty winds. This means that some lake-effect snow will follow this storm for typical snowbelts downwind of the Great Lakes into midweek.

The Most Likely Track
The track that is most likely is near or along the East Coast, as computer models continue to trend a storm track farther east. The storm could even end up staying off the coast through Tuesday as it pushes northward from the mid-Atlantic to New England.

A storm track just off the coast would be the ultimate scenario for heavy snow in the cities along the Interstate 95 corridor from Richmond, Va., to New York to Boston. Strong winds would cause blowing and drifting snow as well. Significant, but less snow would fall in the Appalachians.

Some snow may even cause hazards as far south as northern Mississippi as colder air pours in behind the powerful system.
SR. Meteorologist Brian Wimer talks about the snow

 

[Baja28]

which "Mike" are we supposed to buy? I don't want to get the wrong one!

(...hope he's not too expensive...)

 

[Bay_Kat]

Doesn't matter to me what happens now, I've got tons of groceries and I'm all set. Of course now that I'm prepared, it's just going to rain.

 

[hvp05]

AccuWeather.com is predicting another winter storm for the big cities along the Northeast's Interstate 95 corridor early this coming week.

You have put a lot of work into copying/pasting stuff. But Accuweather is currently forecasting rain, then "an inch or two of snow" Monday and a chance for a little more Tuesday morning, so it's not going to be the mega-storm that was pronounced at the start of this thread. (Freaking out about it nearly a week in advance was foolish, but it sure was funny.)

Knowing the way things go down there, the storm could still shift enough to deliver nothing more than a rainy mix.