transporter
Well-Known Member
...a scathing rebuke of Trump.
Trump’s Base Isn’t Enough
In case you aren't paying attention, and given how bad the news is turning out to be, all the ignorati crowd isn't paying attention....R's lost 40 seats in the house...so far.
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Gee, now where have I heard that before????
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Seems I've read that somewhere too.
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The article goes on to say that nothing is assured yet....which is obvious. They do make another clearly obvious statement, for Trump to win another term he has no choice but to change how he governs and how he interacts with everyone. Trump has shown no capacity to do that since he rode down that escalator. Which is why he got his ass handed to him a couple weeks ago and why his poll numbers today are still well below 50%.
Trump’s Base Isn’t Enough
There shouldn’t be much question about whether 2018 was a wave election. Of course it was a wave. You could endlessly debate the wave’s magnitude... Personally, I’d rank the 2018 wave a tick behind both 1994, which represented a historic shift after years of Democratic dominance of the House, and 2010, which reflected an especially ferocious shift against then-President Barack Obama after he’d been elected in a landslide two years earlier. But I’d put 2018 a bit ahead of most other modern wave elections, such as 2006 and 1982. Your mileage may vary.
In another important respect, however, the 2018 wave was indisputably unlike any other in recent midterm history: It came with exceptionally high turnout. Turnout is currently estimated at 116 million voters, or 49.4 percent of the voting-eligible population. That’s an astounding number; only 83 million people voted in 2014, by contrast.
In case you aren't paying attention, and given how bad the news is turning out to be, all the ignorati crowd isn't paying attention....R's lost 40 seats in the house...so far.
...
This high turnout makes for some rather unusual accomplishments. For instance, Democratic candidates for the House will receive almost as many votes this year as the 63 million that President Trump received in 2016, when he won the Electoral College (but lost the popular vote).
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There isn’t really any precedent for the opposition party at the midterm coming so close to the president’s vote total.
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This year’s results do serve as a warning to Trump in one important sense, however: His base alone will not be enough to win a second term.
Gee, now where have I heard that before????
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Problem No. 1 is that Republicans lost among swing voters: Independent voters went for Democrats by a 12-point margin, and voters who voted for a third-party candidate in 2016 went to Democrats by 13 points.
Seems I've read that somewhere too.
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Trump and Republicans also have Problem No. 2, however: Their base is smaller than the Democratic one...
Nonetheless, it does mean that Republicans can’t win the presidency by turning out their base alone, a strategy that sometimes is available to Democrats.
The article goes on to say that nothing is assured yet....which is obvious. They do make another clearly obvious statement, for Trump to win another term he has no choice but to change how he governs and how he interacts with everyone. Trump has shown no capacity to do that since he rode down that escalator. Which is why he got his ass handed to him a couple weeks ago and why his poll numbers today are still well below 50%.