Larry, give us some hard numbers. Say some retard read this thread back in October of 2007, took the advice, and bought one of those pre-fab trailers in San Souci for $170k. How much are they down now?
And don't hit me up with that "they've lost nothing till they sell' garbage, we're talking mark to market accounting here.
First off, mark to market is pure 100% fantasy and the dumbest idea in the last 5,000 years. Besides the DH rule. The best property in the universe isn't worth X dollars, right now, this very minute. It's worth what it's worth when it is bought and sold. Everything else is a suggestion based on recent sales and a fair idea of the pool of buyers, but still a guess.
Mark to market is part of how we got in this mess in the first place. Mark to market is a real time heart monitor and stampede creator in a nation that works best on weekly, monthly, quarterly and annual accounting. It CREATES instability where stability is CRUCIAL.
Imagine if milk was valued several times a day. The shelf is kinda bare, up goes the price! The delivery truck blew a tire, up goes the price! Some mom just bought 3 of the last four gallons! There's three people heading for the dairy case and 4 cars just pulled into the parking lot! Quick! PANIC! That gallon is gotta be worth $100 to someone!
Now, the reverse. The snow storm DIDN'T come, an Internet rumor said milk is bad for you, people are on vacation, the three gallon lady found out she is lactose intolerant and the delivery schedule got messed up and an extra milk delivery came; there's milk everywhere! Quick! Panic! Sell that milk for whatever you can get for it!!!!
Secondly, who in the hell could have predicted in '07 that a GOP potus would take these drastic, huge and devastating steps towards socializing the economy? He pulled the rug out from under everyone and everything. He did NOT fix Fanny, he did not fix mark to market, he did not fix oil. He poured gasoline on the whole smouldering mess.
So, the question; better to own or better to rent?
If you've rented the last two years and it's cost $1,000 a month less to your cash flow, including the tax implications, then you have $24,000 more cash had you rented...depending on where you put that money.
If it's in the bank, great.
Under your mattress. Great. Hope you don't get robbed.
Buried in the back yard. Great. It's not your back yard.
If it's in Citibank stock. It's gone.
If it's in gold, great.
If you started a business with it, great. Depending on the business.
It's fine to argue renting is better. We would all be better off now if 8% of new homeowners the last 5-6 years did NOT get their loans. We'd all be better off if W hadn't socialized the economy. We'd be recovering now. We'd all be better off if Obama and Nancy and Harry hadn't just made it far worse.
At some point, housing WILL settle into a fair supply and demand equilibrium and most, especially better properties will recover. If housing falls some more and you've now saved $36,000 because you rented yet my house starts going up $12,000 a year for 3 years, we're even and the question goes right back to the one I asked earlier that you are trying to avoid answering;
What do you do with that money you saved by renting as housing devalued?