I don't know about RR, but I'm about ready to write off the Democratic party. There was a time that they were a true national party, but they've been continually limiting themselves since the 1970s. This may have been a good decision back then, but they have failed to recognize the corners they have been painting themselves into.
Look at the core of the party: Minorities, Women Libbers, Union People, Teachers, Gays, Anti-Gun folks, Abortionists, and Tree Huggers. Now, look what's happened over the past 30 or so years:
1. Countless predictions of environmental disaster have come and gone, and without merit. The Tree Huggers are more and more being seen as Chicken Littles. And ELF doesn't help things either with all the echo-terrorism.
2. Teachers - Ask any parent about the credibility that schools, teachers, and administrations have... about as much as Pat Buchanon.
3. Union People - They watched as Bill Clinton sold them down the river, and they've been losing their luster with the Gen X employees. They pushed hard for Dick Gephardt, and look where he ended up.
4. Abortionists - I think they had a good thing going, but fighting for partial-birth abortions cost them more than they know.
5. Gays - Most folks don't support the lifestyle and never will. They're content to deal with the reality, but when you opt to toss it in their faces, they're going to toss it right back.
6. Minorities and Women Libbers - Every year it gets harder and harder to make the case that blacks and women are downtrodden masses who need protection. In fact, more and more we're finding that these people are tired of being labeled as a victim class. They've made it in the World, and thy expect others to make it themselves, which is a double-whammy. Less people on the Government dole, and who are now paying taxes to support that dole, is bad news for the Dems.
7. Gun Control Types - Just can't get past that dang 2nd Ammendment, and hopefully never will. Meanwhile, crime rates continue to decline despite the increasing availability of guns.
So... the Democratic Party is comprised primarily of groups that are losing more and more credibility every day, and is becoming more exclusionary every day. They demean anyone who fits one of the above profiles yet votes Republican, while the Republicans are falling all over themselves to bring more people into their party. I hate to say that Carville is right, but the Dems might be out of it if they don't start waking up and realizing that they are more and more falling out of touch with the American populace.