Larry Gude
Strung Out
Oh, Brettannia
Yes!
The Brett, the bad and the ugly
Bretteen84
It's a Brett World After All!!!
Oh, Brettannia
No, he didn't make the right call and no, you don't have a better chance of stopping ANY quarterback in 30 yards than you do in 70. That's just silly.
He made a gutsy call, didn't work out.
Brian Burke said:With 2:08 left and the Colts with only one timeout, a successful 4th-and-2 conversion wins the game for all practical purposes. A conversion on 4th-and-2 would be successful 60 percent of the time. Historically, in a situation with 2:00 left and needing a TD to either win or tie, teams get the TD 53 percent of the time from that field position. The total win probability for the 4th-down conversion attempt would therefore be:
(0.60 * 1) + (0.40 * (1-0.53)) = 0.79 WP (WP stands for win probability)
A punt from the 28 typically nets 38 yards, starting the Colts at their 34. Teams historically get the TD 30 percent of the time in that situation. So the punt gives the Pats about a 0.70 WP.
Statistically, the better decision would be to go for it, and by a good amount. However, these numbers are baselines for the league as a whole. You’d have to expect the Colts had a better than 30 percent chance of scoring from their 34, and an accordingly higher chance to score from the Pats’ 28. But any adjustment in their likelihood of scoring from either field position increases the advantage of going for it. You can play with the numbers any way you like, but it’s pretty hard to come up with a realistic combination of numbers that makes punting the better option. At best, you could make it a wash.
You can argue with the play call, but the fact that he went for it was the right call.
You can argue with the play call, but the fact that he went for it was the right call.
You can argue with the play call, but the fact that he went for it was the right call.
Don't argue with the brettaholics, no sense in it...we know we're right
Don't argue with the brettaholics, no sense in it...we know we're right
We may not be right. We just wanna enjoy a great player for as long as possible!
peyton is the truth
and a piss poor call by coach bill
No, not really.You can argue with the play call, but the fact that he went for it was the right call.
Are you sure??
It seemed almost TOO unbelievable.. almost like the coach was told "Indy WILL win this game" and in an act of defiance let his team play the first half to show the world who the better team was, but in the end toed the line and lost as instructed.
Like a prize fighter taking a dive, beating his opponent senseless until finally he did what he was supposed to do.
It was all for the books in Vegas....
Nah, just looked like Bellicheck's arrogance showing. This time instead of putting up 50+ on an opponent the other guy swung back and connected.Are you sure??
It seemed almost TOO unbelievable.. almost like the coach was told "Indy WILL win this game" and in an act of defiance let his team play the first half to show the world who the better team was, but in the end toed the line and lost as instructed.
Like a prize fighter taking a dive, beating his opponent senseless until finally he did what he was supposed to do.
The Colts were favored by 2 and they won by 1. The Patriots still beat the spread.I just think there's way too much money involved in ALL pro sports now for it to be 100% legit, and "real"..
I just think there's way too much money involved in ALL pro sports now for it to be 100% legit, and "real"..
No, not really.
He didn't make it, did he?
That should be your first clue.
He made the call. He was the catalyst.Ya know, I just watched the video replay and I fail to see where Bellichick was on the field for the play. He didn't make the high throw, nor the terrible catch. Coaches can't execute for the team, the players have to make the plays. New England didn't, Indy did, simple as that.