AFC East
The Jets are better but nothing special with Brett.
The Phish are better, but no suprise, really, with the Tuna at the helm
The Pats are hanging in there pretty good sans Brady
The Bills were a lot of peoples dark horse anyway.
AFC North
B'more and Flacco not so bad-o!
Cinncy. Thud.
Browns, up and down.
Pittsburgh. As good as or better than expected?
AFC South
Indy. Thud.
Jax. So-so
Titans top dog w/Collins
Houston, also ran.
AFC West
Chargers suffering shorts
Chiefs. Or Cinncy? Who is worse?
Raiders. Blah.
Bronco's nothing special
NFC East
Skins looking better than expected, real solid.
Dallas HA!
Giants #1 until proven otherwise.
Philly solid as always
NFC North
Lions bleh
Bears so so
Packers doing just fine with Mr. Rogers
Vikes so so
NFC South
Bucs look real good 5-2
Cats look real good 5-2
Falcons 4-2 FOUR AND TWO???
Saints back to the cellar where they belong
NFC West
Who cares? Are the Cards of note at 4-2?
I usually consider surprises as positive and disappointments as negative, so I'd go with 3 teams doing surprisingly better than expected.
Clearly, nobody expected the Titans to be 6-0 and on top of the toughest division in the AFC (they were expected to be in 3rd/4th).
The only other teams in the AFC that are better than expected are the Jets, Bills, Dolphins, and Ravens. The Jets are actually around what was expected after their binge in free agency and the Bills were a 'sleeper' pick, so both had potential playoff expectations. The Ravens and Fins were two of 4 teams that some columnists eliminated from playoff discussion, yet they aren't in the bottom 4 of the league (or even close right now), so they are both surprises.
In the NFC, the East was expected to be good and the West was expected to be bad...no surprises. The only thing in the North is the Lions and Vikes are worse than expected, but I'm not really surprised. The South, however, has been a surprise. The Panthers were a sleeper pick, but the Falcons and Bucs weren't projected to look as solid as they've been. The Falcons are obviously the biggest surprise of the NFC.
So if I get 3 picks, I've already tossed up the Falcons and Titans as two of them. The last pick would probably be the Ravens, only because they beat the Fins and were projected to be worse than the Panthers, Bucs, Bills, and Jets.
If you want to throw in the teams worse than expected...Colts, Jags, Chargers, Browns, Bengals, Lions, and Saints would be the teams up for discussion, I guess.