So, is this yet another take based on the initial conditions being the way things are going forward? What part of negotiation escapes these people?
The main problem this man foresees - and it's well thought out - is the volatility he's facing NOW.
He's presuming that volatility is the way things are going to be - and if that were true, everything he says makes sense.
I don't think that's the case - from where I sit, it looks like Trump read the riot act to all our trading partners - is currently making it clear that we are perfectly capable - and WILLING - to drop the boom on them (because we're doing that) - and to finally play fair.
This is akin to having a spoiled, entitled teenage brat moan about the house and unwilling to do anything - and comes home one day to find the door has been removed from their room, and all of their gaming stuff is gone. Yeah - it COULD result in them moving out, but most of the time it's going to EVENTUALLY achieve the desired result - equitable sharing of responsibilities.
I'm sure we've all seen a video or two where a large dog is being antagonized by smaller animals - until he stands up, barks loudly and with his muzzle alone - smacks a couple around.
The U.S. has been that dog - we've always had the power to tell the rest to eff off, but have convinced ourselves that we totally need them. We don't. Things might get hard for a while - but we can't survive in a situation where our survival as a nation is totally hostage to hostile powers.
So far, I have faith that better trade deals await. Some of Trump's promises seem absurd - but this one, I'm on board with.