Biden Polling

GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member

Here’s the Poll That Has Democrats Panicked About the 2024 Election



Nick Arama reports at RedState:

Fascinating Poll Shows Another Major Voter Shift That Brings Good News for GOP
Since the 90s, when Republicans last had a lead in voter identification, there had been a shift toward people identifying as Democrats until there were 5 percent more voters identifying as Democrats than Republicans in 2020.
But now there appears to have been a shift back toward the right, according to a just-released Pew Research Center analysis comparing the numbers for the last twenty years until 2023.
However, the Pew results from 2023 reveal a significant shift in party affiliation this cycle, reporting that 49% of voters identify as Democrat or leaning Democrat, while 48% identify as Republican or leaning Republican.
Additionally, about 33% of respondents said they identify as being conservative or moderate in 2023, while the other side of the aisle only sees 23% identifying as liberal Democrats or leaning liberal.
That means Democrats had been five points up and now it’s almost even, and now more identifying as conservative than liberal as well.

Take a look at the breakdown below:



 

GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member
📈📈 Meanwhile, the Trump trial doesn’t seem to be hurting the former president yet, as suggested by yesterday’s headline from Newsweek:

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Not only that, but people betting their own money widely prefer Trump over Biden. On Polymarket (where you can bet on lots of stuff, like whether Taylor Swift gets pregnant this year), its Presidential Election Betting Page favors Convicted Felon Donald Trump:

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Polymarket’s 56% “price” already has Trump’s felony conviction baked into its prediction, since the punters think it’s very likely to happen:

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The most mind-bending question is: would Trump’s odds of winning be higher or lower if he weren’t facing conviction?



 
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