Heavy Snow Warning

rack'm

rack'm

Jaded
FromTexas said:
That part is for the Washington area. Scroll down for ours... :neener:
Click to expand...


Looks like us to me.....


WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED.



THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS CANCELLED
THE WINTER STORM WATCH.

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF STATES WILL TRACK
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CAROLINAS THIS AFTERNOON..AND THEN WELL
EAST OF THE DELMARVA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING BEFORE TAPERING
OFF. AROUND AN INCH OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MDZ016>018-VAZ055>057-051600-
/O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0002.051205T1700Z-051206T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KLWX.HS.W.0001.051205T1700Z-051206T1200Z/
CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-KING GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALDORF...ST MARYS CITY...
FREDERICKSBURG
258 AM EST MON DEC 5 2005
 
truby20

truby20

Fighting like a girl
FromTexas said:
She is messing around more thank likely. :yay:

So, the NAM brought down the DC area quite a bit.. what about the NAS PAX area? :tap:
Click to expand...

12Z NAM has us down to 0.5" liquid equivalent. The 12Z GFS won't be out for another hour.

Sterling has cut back on tonight's total, they were saying 3-7" now it is 2-4", but for the entire event that would give us 4-8". That's what made me believe they would downgrade the Heavy Snow Warning...
NAS Forecast

Radar looks good though:
Intellicast Radar

Snow started in Richmond around 7 and the temperature fell to 33:
RIC obs

So still looks like we'll get something, but probably on the lower end of 4 to 8.

At least that's what it looks like this hour :tap:
 
truby20

truby20

Fighting like a girl
The Heavy Snow Warning remains

Sterling just updated their Area Forecast Discussion at 10:30:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1030 AM EST MON DEC 5 2005

.SHORT TERM...
GOING FCST PRETTY MUCH ON TRACK. GFS/NAM FCST COMPARABLE ON MASS
FIELDS. LOPRES SHOOTING OUT TO SEA WELL S OF CWFA...WHICH WL BE
SAVING GRACE IN TERM OF SNW TTLS. PLENTY OF COLD AIR IN PLACE...AND
THERES LTL DOUBT THAT PTYPE WL BE SNW. OF COURSE...W/ STRONGLY
DYNAMIC SYSTEMS...SUCH AS THIS ONE...THERES ALWAYS THE CHC OF A
SMALL MIX...BUT FEEL THIS SHUD BE MINIMAL. "WRAP ANRD" SHUD BE
MINIMAL AS WELL AS LOPRES WONT REACH NRN LATITUDES SOON ENUF.
HWVR... F-N VECTORS SHW A STRONGLY FORCED BAND OF PCPN ARCHING
N/NWWD...AND SHUD CROSS MUCH OF CWFA DURNG EVE COMMUTE. THEREIN LIES
THE CONCERN. XPCT A PD ARND THE METRO AREAS WHERE SNW WL ACCUM
RATHER QUICKLY...ALTHO NOT REACH WRNG LVLS BY THE NUMBERS.

HV FIDDLED W/ QPF AND SNW TTLS A BIT BASED ON LTST GDNC. SRN SXNS
/WRNG/...HV COME DWN AN INCH OR TWO...AND HV COAXED UP THE SRN PART
OF THE ADVSRY UP AN INCH.
Click to expand...
Looks like they are expecting an intense area of precip to overspread the area toward evening, then during that short period of time we'll get the majority of our snow. It's going to be a very close call I think...
 
kwillia

kwillia

n/a
truby20 said:
It's going to be a very close call I think...
Click to expand...
Yeah... here is Channel 9's update...

<img src="http://www.wusatv9.com/assetpool/images/05125102319_web_special1.jpg"/img>

After looking at the morning computer data and the storms development, we (the 9 Weather Team) are lowering are totals slightly. 3"-5" for the metro, more south, less northwest.


See.. this is why I hate all these snow threads. St. Mary's NEVER knows what to expect until the actual even is over and we see what's on the ground. :ohwell:
 
kwillia

kwillia

n/a
And for those at the southern tip of St. Mary's who are going to biatch tomorrow morning about school being closed or delayed when they look out the window and don't see much by way of accumulation... let's remember your schools are in the same county as those that will have 8 inches are so on the ground outside their windows...:bonk:
 
H

harleygirl

Working for the weekend
truby20 said:
Where you at Tigerlily?
Click to expand...
Latest update:

Issued at: 10:57 AM EST 12/5/05, expires at: 7:00 PM EST 12/5/05

Heavy snow warning remains in effect until 7 am est Tuesday.
A heavy snow warning remains in effect until 7 am est Tuesday.
Low pressure developing over the gulf states will track northeastward
over the carolinas this afternoon, and then well east of the delmarva
tonight.
Snow will increase in intensity this afternoon, and continue into the
evening hours. Between 3 to 6 inches of snow is expected to fall across
the central shenandoah valley. 4 to 8 inches will fall across central
virginia and southern maryland, including charlottesville,
fredericksburg, and solomons.
This amount of snowfall could cause significant and widespread travel
problems. The weight of the snowfall could also cause some power
outages. If you live in the warned area, it would be a good idea to check your
winter storm survival kit. Also, if you must travel during the height
of this storm, carry a winter emergency kit in your car.
 
cattitude

cattitude

My Sweetest Boy
harleygirl said:
Latest update:

Issued at: 10:57 AM EST 12/5/05, expires at: 7:00 PM EST 12/5/05

Heavy snow warning remains in effect until 7 am est Tuesday.
A heavy snow warning remains in effect until 7 am est Tuesday.
Low pressure developing over the gulf states will track northeastward
over the carolinas this afternoon, and then well east of the delmarva
tonight.
Snow will increase in intensity this afternoon, and continue into the
evening hours. Between 3 to 6 inches of snow is expected to fall across
the central shenandoah valley. 4 to 8 inches will fall across central
virginia and southern maryland, including charlottesville,
fredericksburg, and solomons.
This amount of snowfall could cause significant and widespread travel
problems. The weight of the snowfall could also cause some power
outages. If you live in the warned area, it would be a good idea to check your
winter storm survival kit. Also, if you must travel during the height
of this storm, carry a winter emergency kit in your car.
Click to expand...

I just got the same alert in my email here at work from NBC4.com. (for Calvert)
 
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