Isabel

Sharon

Sharon

* * * * * * * * *
Staff member
PREMO Member
161458W5.gif
 
Ponytail

Ponytail

New Member
Yup. but it's already been downgraded to a Cat 2. At that rate, we'll be lucky to feel a breeze by the time Friday rolls around.
 
H

http

New Member
Otter

Otter

Nothing to see here
Originally posted by Ponytail
Yup. but it's already been downgraded to a Cat 2. At that rate, we'll be lucky to feel a breeze by the time Friday rolls around.
Click to expand...

Hard to tell, it has yet to hit the gulf stream, which will strengthen it...how much, no clue...but I still think if its still a hurricane by Thursday, it will be cat 1 or downgraded to a trop.
 
Kyle

Kyle

Beloved Misanthrope
PREMO Member
Originally posted by kwillia
Psst., does that mean you are cancelling your hurricane party. Let me know if the party location will be different than what's on the invite... :confused:
Click to expand...
Geez...

Can you imagine what a downer a "Tropical Depression Party" would be?
 
J

justhangn

Guest
Originally posted by Kyle
Geez...

Can you imagine what a downer a "Tropical Depression Party" would be?
Click to expand...

What a low thing to even think about, though it wouldn't have much pressure to it.
 
Ken King

Ken King

A little rusty but not crusty
PREMO Member
I think it will intenstify later tonight/early tomorrow morning once it clears that front its banging heads with and gets over the warmer Gulf Stream waters. Cat 2 on impact with the Carolinas.
 
migtig

migtig

aka Mrs. Giant
000
WTNT33 KNHC 161738
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 42A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2003

...ISABEL CONTINUES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH
CAROLINA TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NORTH BEACH MARYLAND...
AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF LITTLE RIVER INLET TO
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED NORTH OF THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISABEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 71.3 WEST OR ABOUT 595 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...OR
CATEGORY TWO ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. WHILE SOME
FURTHER WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY...CONDITIONS COULD BECOME
FAVORABLE FOR RESTRENGTHENING PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 275 MILES...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.

LARGE OCEAN SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY BEING
EXPERIENCED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE U.S. SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC
COASTS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALSO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
THE BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...27.5 N... 71.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 959 MB.

FOR STORM-RELATED INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE...AND STATEMENTS FROM
LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
jazz lady

jazz lady

~*~ Rara Avis ~*~
PREMO Member
Originally posted by migtig
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT.
Click to expand...
Gee, couldn't you wait a half an hour and give us the latest? :wink:

It's looking more and more like it's only going to side-swipe us. :getdown:
 
K

Kimmy

Guest
Originally posted by Ken King
I think it will intenstify later tonight/early tomorrow morning once it clears that front its banging heads with and gets over the warmer Gulf Stream waters. Cat 2 on impact with the Carolinas.
Click to expand...

I agree with what you say Ken. Hopefully it will continue banging heads with that front though. If not it could possibly turn 10 degrees to the right and make landfall on the Delmarva Peninsula.
 
K

Kimmy

Guest
FYI Schools will make there decisions by 12:00 noon tomorrow if there will be school on Thursday.
 
migtig

migtig

aka Mrs. Giant
000
WTNT33 KNHC 162033
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2003

...ADDITIONAL WATCHES ISSUED...WARNINGS LIKELY TONIGHT...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH
OF CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA TO LITTLE EGG INLET NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING
DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH MARYLAND NORTHWARD.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH
CAROLINA TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NORTH BEACH
MARYLAND...AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF LITTLE RIVER INLET
TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA.

HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT FOR A PORTION OF
THE WATCH AREA.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISABEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST OR ABOUT 570 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 275 MILES.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.

LARGE OCEAN SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE BEING
EXPERIENCED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE U.S. SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC
COASTS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALSO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
THE BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...27.8 N... 71.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 959 MB.

FOR STORM-RELATED INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE...AND STATEMENTS FROM
LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
K

Kizzy

Guest
What sucks is that it is supposed to hit here about 2 a.m. on Friday. That means somebody has to stay up and keep track of the storm.
 
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