Isabel

Sharon

* * * * * * * * *
Staff member
PREMO Member
Originally posted by Kimmy
CONDITIONS COULD BECOME FAVORABLE FOR RESTRENGTHENING PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
Well if that's the case, maybe we should get a keg instead.
 

Kyle

Beloved Misanthrope
PREMO Member
The waves are starting to pick up a bit

onda-tsunami.jpg
 

jazz lady

~*~ Rara Avis ~*~
PREMO Member
Re: The waves are starting to pick up a bit

I just may get waterfront property out of this. :lmao:
 

Kyle

Beloved Misanthrope
PREMO Member
Originally posted by cattitude
Yeah, good idea, after the beer's gone, we can use it as PFD.:biggrin:

Hey! If we get enough of them I have lots of duct-tape....

We can tape them together to make a Life Boat/Party Barge with the empties. :cheesy:
 

cattitude

My Sweetest Boy
Originally posted by Kyle
Hey! If we get enough of them I have lots of duct-tape....

We can tape them together to make a Life Boat/Party Barge with the empties. :cheesy:

Or we can blow up the sharks that come in on the storm surge!
 

migtig

aka Mrs. Giant
000
WTNT33 KNHC 161442
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2003

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED AS ISABEL MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LITTLE
RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NORTH BEACH
MARYLAND...AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF
LITTLE RIVER INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED NORTH OF THE HURRICANE WATCH
AREA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISABEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 71.2 WEST OR ABOUT 600 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 105
MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES ISABEL A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. WHILE SOME
FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TODAY...CONDITIONS COULD BECOME
FAVORABLE FOR RESTRENGTHENING PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES.

A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
OF 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.

LARGE OCEAN SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY BEING
EXPERIENCED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE U.S. SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC
COASTS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALSO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
THE BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...27.4 N... 71.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 959 MB.

FOR STORM-RELATED INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE...AND STATEMENTS FROM
LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 

jazz lady

~*~ Rara Avis ~*~
PREMO Member
First alert issued for Southern Maryland

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LOCATIONS ALONG THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NORTH BEACH. THIS INCLUDES CALVERT AND ST MARYS COUNTIES IN MARYLAND. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR LOCATIONS AND COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER ALL THE WAY UP TO AND INCLUDING WASHINGTON DC
UNTIL 7:00PM EDT
2300 -

Hurricane Isabel Local Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1200 PM EDT Tue Sep 16 2003

... A Hurricane Watch Is In Effect For Locations Along The Chesapeake Bay South Of North Beach. This Includes Calvert And St Marys Counties In Maryland. A Hurricane Watch Is Also In Effect For Locations And Counties Adjacent To The Tidal Potomac River All The Way Up To And Including Washington DC...

At 11 AM EDT Hurricane Isabel Was Located Near 27.4 North Latitude And 71.2 West Longitude Or About 600 Miles South - Southeast Of Cape Hatteras North Carolina... Moving North Northwest At 8 Mph. Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 959 Mb With Maximum Sustained Winds Of 105 Mph With Higher Gusts. This Makes Isabel A Category Two Hurricane.

... Preparedness Actions... Persons Located In And Near The Posted Hurricane Watch Area Should Prepare For High Winds And Significant Coastal Flooding. People Inland Should Prepare For Strong Winds... Heavy Rain... And Potential Small Stream And River Flooding.

... Rainfall And Inland Flooding... Rainfall Totals For Thursday Into Friday Of 3 To 6 Inches Are Expected In The Baltimore - Washington Area... Over The Chesapeake Bay And Across Southern Maryland. For The Piedmont And Mountain Areas Of Maryland... Virginia And West Virginia... Rainfall Totals Of 6 To 10 Inches Are Possible With Isolated Amounts Of 12 Inches Or More. This Could Cause Serious Flash Flooding And Mudslides With Potentially Major Flooding Of Some Rivers.

... Storm Surge... Waves And Tidal Flooding... The Threat Of Storm Surge Will Be On The Increase Late Thursday Night Into Early Friday. Along The Western Shore Of The Chesapeake Bay Tidal Surges Of 3 To 5 Feet Are Possible. This Surge Would Be On Top Of The Normal Tide And Then Waves Of 4 To 5 Feet May Occur On Top Of That. Along The North Shore Of The Tidal Potomac In Charles And St Marys Counties A Storm Surge Of 4 To 6 Feet Is Possible. The Remainder Of The Tidal Potomac Could See Surges Of 3 To 5 Feet.

... High Tides... Washington DC 2:33 PM Thu 2:42 AM Fri 3:23 PM Fri Baltimore Harbor 12:14 PM Thu 2:07 AM Fri 1:18 PM Fri Thomas Point Light 12:05 AM Fri 11:15 AM Fri ... Wind Information... Tropical Storm Force Winds Of 40 To 60 Mph Will Begin Affecting Southern Maryland Midday Thursday And Will Spread Inland Through The Afternoon And Evening. Stronger Wind Gusts To Hurricane Force Will Be Possible Thursday Night Into Friday Morning As The Center Of The Storm Passes. These Winds May Cause Damage To Trees And Utility Lines.

The National Weather Service Advises Residents In The Affected Area To Continue Monitoring Noaa Weather Radio And The Media For Updates On Hurricane Isabel. Additional Information Can Also Be Found On Our Website: Http://Www.Erh.Noaa.Gov/Lwx

The Next Scheduled Local Statement Will Be Issued At 600 PM EDT. Unless Conditions Warrant Earlier Releases.
 
J

justhangn

Guest
. Storm Surge... Waves And Tidal Flooding... The Threat Of Storm Surge Will Be On The Increase Late Thursday Night Into Early Friday. Along The Western Shore Of The Chesapeake Bay Tidal Surges Of 3 To 5 Feet Are Possible. This Surge Would Be On Top Of The Normal Tide And Then Waves Of 4 To 5 Feet May Occur On Top Of That. Along The North Shore Of The Tidal Potomac In Charles And St Marys Counties A Storm Surge Of 4 To 6 Feet Is Possible. The Remainder Of The Tidal Potomac Could See Surges Of 3 To 5 Feet.


Yep, my house is going to get wet. :frown:
 

Erin

Member
So

Do you think I'll still have my birthing class on Thursday night? I guess a bunch of hormonal pregnant women is the last thing they want stuck (ahem, I mean trapped) in one room.
 
J

justhangn

Guest
Re: So

Originally posted by Erin
Do you think I'll still have my birthing class on Thursday night? I guess a bunch of hormonal pregnant women is the last thing they want stuck (ahem, I mean trapped) in one room.

Depending on the wind gust, you may graduate.
 

Elle

Happy Camper!
Hurricane Watch Extended to Md., Va. and N.C. Counties

Associated Press
Tuesday, September 16, 2003; 12:53 PM


MANTEO, N.C. - Hurricane Isabel's presence is now felt throughout the mid-Atlantic, with a hurricane watch issued for areas along parts of the Chesapeake Bay and the tidal Potomac River. In Maryland, Calvert, St. Mary's, Wicomico, Dorchester and Somerset counties are covered by the latest watch, issued by the National Weather Service.



In Virginia, Essex, Richmond, Northumberland, Middlesex, Gloucester, Surry, Isle Of Wight, Suffolk, Chesapeake, Westmoreland, Accomack, Lancaster, Northampton, Mathews, Virginia Beach, James City, Newport News/Hampton, York And Norfolk/Portsmouth counties are also under the hurricane watch.

A hurricane watch has been issued for 400 miles from Little River Inlet, S.C. to Chincoteague, Va., as Hurricane Isabel drew closer to the North Carolina coast.

Forecasters said Isabel appeared to be on a course to hit Wednesday night or early Thursday on the North Carolina coast and move up through eastern Virginia. Large swells and dangerous surf already were being felt along sections of the coast.

The storm's maximum sustained wind had decreased to about 105 mph but forecasters said it would not likely slow much more.

More than 75,000 people were urged to evacuate the North Carolina coast Tuesday as weakened but remained a dangerous storm on a track toward land. The latest evacuation order was for the low-lying Outer Banks islands, from Hatteras to Duck. A day earlier, hundreds of residents of vulnerable Ocracoke and Bald Head islands were ordered to evacuate.

Dare County spokeswoman Dorothy Toolan said people wouldn't be forced to leave.

"We do have some fire departments in municipalities that will visit neighborhoods and encourage people, but we don't have any kind of law enforcement knocking on doors, forcing people to leave," Toolan said.

As the storm approaches, the Carolinas "will start feeling the effects of Isabel by Wednesday evening," Williams said.

A watch means an area could face hurricane conditions within 36 hours.

Instead of heading to sea early Tuesday, commercial fisherman Rob West stayed home in Manteo monitoring weather reports. He noted that Isabel, the first major hurricane to target the North Carolina coast in four years, lost a little gusto during the night.

"We're kind of breathing a sigh of relief," West said.

However, he had already moved his fishing boat to a safer harbor and triple-tied it to its moorings. He'd cut down three trees near his home to keep them from falling on the house or electrical lines.

West said he expected to decide whether to abandon his home to the storm before high tide Tuesday afternoon.

North of Manteo in Virginia, the Navy had ordered 40 Atlantic Fleet ships based in the Norfolk area to head to sea Tuesday to avoid being battered against their piers. The Air Force had started flying airplanes from coastal bases to fields inland.

"There's plenty of potential for significant damage and possible loss of life," Tom Ridge, secretary of the federal Department of Homeland Security, said Tuesday on NBC's "Today" show.

"We are preparing for the worst and preparing to respond as quickly as possible," he said.

At 11 a.m. EDT Tuesday, Isabel's fastest sustained wind had slowed to near 105 mph, making it a Category 2 storm on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale. On Sunday, Isabel's top winds had hit 160 mph, making it a Category 5 storm.

The storm was moving northwest at around 8 mph and was about 600 miles southeast of North Carolina's Cape Hatteras, the hurricane center reported. The hurricane center said some further weakening is expected Tuesday but it come regain some strength before making landfall.

Hurricane center meteorologist Eric Blake said people should not let their guard down even though the storm was weakening.

"Hurricanes are notorious for gaining strength as they cross the Gulf Stream," he said. "Even if it weakens to a Category 2 hurricane, there's still a lot of potential for danger."

Virginia Gov. Mark R. Warner had already declared a state of emergency, putting National Guardsmen, state police and transportation crews on full alert. The governor said his order put about 500 National Guard troops on duty immediately, with about 200 more subject to activation Tuesday.

As far north as Rhode Island, owners were hauling boats out of the water to protect them from expected rough seas.

"We're not panicking yet, but a lot of owners are calling us because they don't want to lose their boats," said Rick Smith, yard manager at Conanicut Marine Service in Jamestown, R.I.

Isabel is the first major hurricane to threaten the mid-Atlantic since Floyd wreaked havoc on the East Coast in September 1999, causing 56 deaths.

-- -- --

On the Net:

National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

AP-ES-09-16-03 1124EDT
 
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