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somdrenter

Sorry, I'm not Patch...
The graph the link invokes also proves the point when examined fully.
Note he says the 'bottom" of the current cycle is 2011-- look closely and you will see he applies a sinusoidal function to predict the coming recovery- much like recovery of a spring/shock damped oscillation or the "ring" of a bell when struck in a physics analogy.
Do you see the sine function?
This function will likely rebound by nature and have a diminishing damped oscillation on its own, IMHO, but I am just an engineer, not a finance person. Some things when looked at as functions transcend an art or technology and the fundamental laws of nature prevail, showing a commonality of action/reaction.
I see the sine, and apparently so do others. They didn’t take it too well, maybe they missed the point. Maybe they bought at the top.

The rebound will happen, eventually. Fundamentals will come into play once more and the cycle will revert to the mean, maybe over, some are even calling for an overcorrection. I can see some oscillation, but it matters little to me. I don’t plan to time the bottom, just mitigate the time underwater on a mortgage.
 
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thearkade

New Member
:buddies:
We covered all of the exposed cinder block walls in walk in lower level with reflectex. We covered the FLOOR of the unfinished part of the lower level with reflectex wherever it was not carpeted [about 300 sq ft]. All seams between the reflectex sheets are fully sealed with aluminum foil tape. All breaches of the wall have been sealed with expanding foam.
We covered the reflectex inside on the walls with wool blankets. This lower level was a massive heat sink of about 1000 sq ft of concrete total uncovered and in contact with the outside.
Every square inch of exposed concrete is now covered with reflectex and sealed like a space craft. The hot water heater is wrapped with fiberglass insulation and then a layer of reflectex.
Kim made window blankets out of reflectex with magnetic strips and we put those on at night.
The fist night we used the heat pump, it seemed not to do much at all. It was very cold and we switched on on the "emergency" mode at the thermostat. This is a horribly inefficient mode that uses brute force electric resistance heating elements to assist the heat pump. After a short time the circuit breaker would trip. This is amazing-- the wires were not properly tightened on the circuit breaker inside the panel. The connecting was so poor that the face of the panel itself was hot with the wasted energy of this high resistance connection. After we tightened the wiring, the heat pump worked like a charm,
We tossed the old dryer and got a new very efficient dryer and I vent the heat from the dryer back into the house in winter with a louver made specifically for recovering the dryer exhaust heat.
We also use [sparingly] some spot zone heating with several DiLongi Micathermic new age high efficiency resistance heaters used on demand only when the space [office, lab, or bedroom] is occupied, with the mean temperature of the majority of house kept much lower.
The guy who lived here before wasted as much in lost energy as his mortgage payment [after interest tax write off] in cash dollars to smeco during the winter.
I have to go back to work now, but I would love to blog some of this.
Our winter projects this year are finishing a solar assist for the heat pump I stated last year [now off line] and a passive solar oven.
We also have the beginnings of a solar electrical supplement, but it is more a statement at this point than a net energy source.
End of rant.
Bill
IIII's R Us

BTW Does anyone know of a commercial leasing company that does lease to purchase financing on specialized software in $10k range?
We need to update one of our CAD CAM platforms before a window closes for "legacy users" [those of us who bought the thing 20 years ago and made it the standard] to convert to the modern version of our tool.
They issued "last call' . They will no longer support the old platform in any way [the small company we dealt with was sold to Agilent] We have to do it now or pay 20-30 grand next year or the year after. We use this tool to do contract design and it is not optional for us.
Would a term loan make more sense than a lease? I am asking my banker the same things and just want other expert opinions. Any input is welcomed.
Thanks
Wow-lots of conservation efforts there! You talked about spot heating, and that really is great; but you are still then using "brute electric" to heat with. Have you ever thought of zoning your heat pump? Check out the facts @ http://leitchhvac.com . They've been doing it for years.
 
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