Yeah, given what lives here, and the amount of stuff that's being added, pretty sure BRAC isn't a concern. No place to fit NAVAIR, and duplicating the facilities out in China Lake/Edwards/Eglin would cost far more than any savings you get. along with the associated manpower losses you would suffer when folks refused to pack up.
That's along the same lines I was thinking. Anyone who thinks Pax is a BRAC candidate probably isn't aware how many activities and functions were moved TO Pax during the last rounds.