Tropical Storm: Bertha

[AndyMarquisLIVE]

Major Hurricane Bertha



000
WTNT32 KNHC 072035
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 PM AST MON JUL 07 2008

...BERTHA STRENGTHEN TO A MAJOR HURRICANE WITH 115 MPH WINDS...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.1 WEST OR ABOUT 730 MILES...
1175 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT
1150 MILES...1855 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BERTHA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY
ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...20.1 N...52.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME

 

[Baja28]

She is no threat to us and is going to veer off the coast and head into the north Atlantic.

 

[johnycarcinogen]

Still only a Cat. 1 and is going to veer off the coast and head into the north Atlantic.

Where did you get your degree?

 

[desertrat]

Still only a Cat. 1 and is going to veer off the coast and head into the north Atlantic.

Dammit, that's where I was going next week.

 

[Baja28]

Where did you get your degree?

You quoted me, lets see what happens....

 

[AndyMarquisLIVE]

She is no threat to us and is going to veer off the coast and head into the north Atlantic.

115 mph = Category 3 = Major hurricane.

...BERTHA STRENGTHEN TO A MAJOR HURRICANE WITH 115 MPH WINDS...

Where did you get your degree?

Redneck University

 

[toppick08]

Includes predictions for all or portions of Connecticut (Bridgeport, Hartford, New Haven, Stamford, Waterbury), Delaware (Bear, Dover, Hockessin, Newark, Wilmington), District of Columbia (Friendship Heights, Washington), Maryland (Baltimore, Columbia, Dundalk, Ellicott City, Silver Spring), Massachusetts (Boston, Brockton, Cambridge, Springfield, Worcester), New Jersey (Edison, Elizabeth, Jersey City, Newark, Paterson), New York (Brentwood, Hempstead, New Rochelle, New York, Yonkers), Pennsylvania (Chester, Levittown, Norristown, Philadelphia, Radnor), Rhode Island (Cranston, East Providence, Pawtucket, Providence, Warwick), Virginia (Alexandria, Arlington, Hampton, Newport News, Richmond).

Winter will be about a degree milder than normal, on average. Precipitation will be a bit above normal across southern New England and eastern Long Island and below normal elsewhere. Snowfall will be near to slightly below normal, with the snowiest periods in mid-December, mid- to late January, and mid-February. The coldest temperatures will occur in early and late December, mid-January, and early and mid-February.

April and May will be slightly warmer than normal, with above-normal rainfall north of the District of Columbia and below-normal rainfall to its south.

Summer will be rainier and slightly warmer than normal, on average. The hottest temperatures will occur in mid- to late June and mid-July.

Expect a hurricane in the last week of September. Otherwise, September and October will be slightly drier than normal, with near-normal temperatures

 

[AndyMarquisLIVE]

Includes predictions for all or portions of Connecticut (Bridgeport, Hartford, New Haven, Stamford, Waterbury), Delaware (Bear, Dover, Hockessin, Newark, Wilmington), District of Columbia (Friendship Heights, Washington), Maryland (Baltimore, Columbia, Dundalk, Ellicott City, Silver Spring), Massachusetts (Boston, Brockton, Cambridge, Springfield, Worcester), New Jersey (Edison, Elizabeth, Jersey City, Newark, Paterson), New York (Brentwood, Hempstead, New Rochelle, New York, Yonkers), Pennsylvania (Chester, Levittown, Norristown, Philadelphia, Radnor), Rhode Island (Cranston, East Providence, Pawtucket, Providence, Warwick), Virginia (Alexandria, Arlington, Hampton, Newport News, Richmond).

Winter will be about a degree milder than normal, on average. Precipitation will be a bit above normal across southern New England and eastern Long Island and below normal elsewhere. Snowfall will be near to slightly below normal, with the snowiest periods in mid-December, mid- to late January, and mid-February. The coldest temperatures will occur in early and late December, mid-January, and early and mid-February.

April and May will be slightly warmer than normal, with above-normal rainfall north of the District of Columbia and below-normal rainfall to its south.

Summer will be rainier and slightly warmer than normal, on average. The hottest temperatures will occur in mid- to late June and mid-July.

Expect a hurricane in the last week of September. Otherwise, September and October will be slightly drier than normal, with near-normal temperatures

Better not be a damn hurricane in the last week of September.

 

[Baja28]

115 mph = Category 3 = Major hurricane.
Redneck University

Yes Andrew, I was incorrect about the category.


Wait, weren't you the dolt with threads the last couple years warning us about HORRIBLE hurricane seasons?? Why yes, yes you were!!


Lets see what she does. You have my prediction!!

 

[Baja28]

Winter will be about a degree milder than normal, on average. Precipitation will be a bit above normal across southern New England and eastern Long Island and below normal elsewhere. Snowfall will be near to slightly below normal, with the snowiest periods in mid-December, mid- to late January, and mid-February. The coldest temperatures will occur in early and late December, mid-January, and early and mid-February.

April and May will be slightly warmer than normal, with above-normal rainfall north of the District of Columbia and below-normal rainfall to its south.

Summer will be rainier and slightly warmer than normal, on average. The hottest temperatures will occur in mid- to late June and mid-July.

Expect a hurricane in the last week of September. Otherwise, September and October will be slightly drier than normal, with near-normal temperatures

Well that thing is pretty inaccurate already.

 

[AndyMarquisLIVE]

Yes Andrew, I was incorrect about the category.


Wait, weren't you the dolt with threads the last couple years warning us about HORRIBLE hurricane seasons?? Why yes, yes you were!!


Lets see what she does. You have my prediction!!

It's early yet for a major hurricane.

I hope they all move out to sea.

 

[toppick08]

Well that thing is pretty inaccurate already.

 

[awpitt]

Doesn't matter how big or what CAT Bertha is right now. She would have to cross cooler waters in order to reach us and would weaken quite a bit before getting here which she's not going to do. At this point, she won't get west enough to even get Bermuda.

 

[CalvertNewbie]

Doesn't matter how big or what CAT Bertha is right now. She would have to cross cooler waters in order to reach us and would weaken quite a bit before getting here which she's not going to do. At this point, she won't get west enough to even get Bermuda.

Great news, I'm holding you to that!!! I really hope you're right.

 

[Baja28]

Doesn't matter how big or what CAT Bertha is right now. She would have to cross cooler waters in order to reach us and would weaken quite a bit before getting here which she's not going to do. At this point, she won't get west enough to even get Bermuda.

Ed Zachary!! And that is why I made my prediction!

 

[Bann]

Pace yourself - the season is young!

 

[AndyMarquisLIVE]

Yes Andrew, I was incorrect about the category just like I was incorrect about MIR's sand pit.

 

[Lenny]

OH, so NOW it's OK to demand a apology for an erroneous prediction!?

Let's look up that little thread you created that perpetuated the panic about a measly seven (7) inch tsunami last year, why don't we?

 

[EvWill]

Doesn't matter how big or what CAT Bertha is right now. She would have to cross cooler waters in order to reach us and would weaken quite a bit before getting here which she's not going to do. At this point, she won't get west enough to even get Bermuda.

Still could go either way on the Bermuda question. The forecast models have all converged on solutions keeping the storm well away from the U.S. mainland though. There's no point other than curiosity in tracking this one now.

 

[atrusomder]

The seasons haven't been as active, but the hurricanes have been stronger.

If a hurricane were to take a path that Isabel did this year, we'd be straight-screwed, and it wouldn't feel good.

You'd be correct!

I was in Myrtle Beach the year Bertha came through, and Praise Jesus that it came ashore with moderate winds and rain.

That was my first encounter with a Hurricane (cat.1) then Isabelle.
I hope Bertha is as nice to me again as she was when she came ashore in Myrtle Beach that year (1995 I think).