Numerous polls signal the shift. The latest
New York Times/Siena poll shows Trump not merely closing the gap with Hispanic voters, but running
ahead of President Joe Biden with Hispanics by 6 points. A
recent Reuters/Ipsos poll also found Trump in the lead with Hispanics by a single point, while a
new poll by the American Principles Project found Trump and Biden running even with Hispanics in swing states.
This is, of course, the same Trump who white liberals compared to Hitler for proposing a southern border wall and using the term “
bad hombres” during a 2016 presidential debate. And yet, in the preceding years, Hispanic voters have shifted meaningfully toward Trump. He lost the Hispanic vote by 36 points in 2016, but he cut the deficit to 21% in 2020. And if recent polls that show an even split between Trump and Biden are even close to correct, the turnaround will rank as among the most consequential political storylines of the century.
Black voters also appear to be trending toward Trump. Recent data released by Gallup show that the percentage of black voters who self-identify as Republicans is at
the highest level this century. While still only at 19%, the number is vastly improved from Trump’s 2016 vote share, which saw him take
only 6% of the black vote nationally. Again, if this trend is even close to correct, Trump will win the presidency handily in November.
Given the constant accusations of racism Trump has drawn since appearing on the national stage, in addition to the Left’s extravagant commitment to radical racial politics such as Ibram X. Kendi’s vision of “antiracism,” it is impossible to overstate how humiliating these surveys are. White liberals have somehow managed to repel the very people with whom they desperately sought allegiance.
Some may be quick to credit Trump for successfully expanding the demographic tent of the Republican Party — and in truth, it’s impossible to argue otherwise. However, Democrats deserve the lion’s share of credit for driving away their own base. Their governing record on topics of importance to minority communities is abysmal. Indeed, black and Hispanic families have suffered from school closures, skyrocketing food costs, and open borders that have resulted in cities being flooded with undocumented immigrants. These voters are also
concerned by the increasingly radical positions championed by white liberals on matters of sex and gender, particularly in relation to education. And they are turned off by the constant demonization of religion and traditional values, since they are
more likely to attend weekly religious services than their white counterparts.