Middle East War Briefing

somdwatch

Well-Known Member
Folks are speculating that Israel hacked the supply chain and intercepted a shipment of pagers from Taiwan bound for Lebanon and Hezbollah. Freaking genius.
Read somewhere today that Taiwan said they were made in Hungary.
Maybe there's a government sign up coming soon for Free Pagers in support of Hamas.:sarcasm:
Ironic, Terror being placed on Terrorists.
 

Kyle

Beloved Misanthrope
PREMO Member
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GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member

An explosive moment of clarification




In fact, never in the history of warfare has there been a more precisely targeted attack against enemy combatants. The explosive devices had only been distributed to senior Hezbollah operatives. The small amount of explosive inside was designed to hurt only the carriers.

The number of civilian casualties was accordingly extremely small. All such casualties are regrettable. But those accusing Israel of recklessly endangering civilians and escalating the war fail to acknowledge the difference between deliberately aiming to kill civilians and inadvertently causing civilian casualties in a just war of defence.

They fail to register the dozens of Hezbollah missiles and rockets that Hezbollah is firing every day to kill Israelis. They fail to refer to the 12 Druze children and young people killed by such an attack in July on Majdal Shams. They fail to note that Hezbollah has been increasingly widening its target range ever more deeply into Israel.

Escalation, it seems, is a one-way street. It never applies to attacks on Israel, only to Israel when it defends itself.

The Biden administration continues to play a double game. Ever since the October 7 pogrom, it has pressured Israel not to take the steps needed to defeat Hamas, stop Hezbollah and neutralise Iran. That pressure has become frenzied in recent days as Israel has signalled it may have no alternative but to clear Hezbollah out of southern Lebanon altogether.

But at least the United States voted against the appalling resolution passed by the UN General Assembly on Wednesday — by 124-14 with 43 abstentions — demanding that Israel should end “its unlawful presence in the Occupied Palestinian Territory” within 12 months.

The text of the resolution was based on the advisory opinion by the International Court of Justice in July that Israel’s “occupation of Palestinian territory” was illegal. But the ICJ is a kangaroo court, relying for its “evidence” entirely on falsehoods propagated by those who want to see the Jewish state destroyed.
 

GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member
As RedState's Bob Hoge reported earlier Friday, Israeli airstrikes in Beirut and Lebanon have taken out several senior Hezbollah leaders, including Ibrahim Aqeel, in yet another blow this week to the terrorist outfit. Aqeel was one of the masterminds behind the bombing of the U.S. Marine barracks in Beirut back in 1983, and his demise comes on the 40th anniversary of one of his other attacks on the U.S. — the 1984 bombing that took place outside of the American embassy in Beirut. The Israel War Room X account noted the significance of the moment, tweeting:


40 years ago to the day, Ibrahim Aqil helped direct a Hezbollah suicide bombing that targeted the American embassy in Beirut.
Today, Israel eliminated him with a surgical airstrike in Beirut.
Justice is served.


Israel is clearly willing to play the long game when it comes to meting out justice.

Reports have since emerged that Hezbollah was planning an "October 7-like" attack on Israel codenamed "Conquer the Galilee." October 7, 2023, was, of course, the day that Hamas terrorists from Gaza conducted a merciless assault on Israel, resulting in the barbarous murders of thousands of Israelis and the kidnappings of hundreds more — many of whom are still being held hostage nearly a year later.

Following the latest action by Israel, the IDF revealed what they believe Hezbollah was planning:


'Hezbollah intended to infiltrate Israeli communities and kidnap and murder innocent civilians in a similar manner to the October 7 Massacre,' the IDF said.
'The IDF will continue to remove the threat of Hezbollah's capabilities and will continue to operate in all arenas to protect Israeli civilians.'


Ironically, Hezbollah was launching its own attack on Israel just as the Israeli air force was raining fire down on Hezbollah sites in Beirut. The IDF said of the Beirut attack:


"With the direction of IDF intelligence, the IAF struck approximately 30 Hezbollah launchers and terrorist infrastructure sites, containing approximately 150 launcher barrels that were ready to fire projectiles toward Israeli territory. Additionally, the IDF struck Hezbollah terrorist infrastructure and a weapons storage facility in multiple areas in southern Lebanon."


Israel is not playing around. The horrific stench of October 7 lingers on for them, and Israel has both the desire and the means to exact revenge and to take all actions necessary to protect its population from another assault. That's been made abundantly clear from this week's explosive activities.



 

GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member
The global Left haven't met a terrorist organization they don't love and support.

Since October of last year, Hezbollah has joined Hamas in firing rockets indiscriminately into Israel. Back in July, Hezbollah rockets hit a soccer field in the northern Israeli community of Druze. The victims were mostly children just playing soccer.

The global Left was pretty tight-lipped following that atrocity, but they sure got their panties in a twist over the last couple of weeks now that Israel has -- quite literally in some cases -- neutered Hezbollah with exploding pagers and targeted airstrikes.

Now the U.S. and others are desperate for a ceasefire (weird how that only happens when Israel is winning).

Here's a joint statement from Biden and French president Emmanuel Macron:












 

GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member

Rats Scurry for Cover: Iran Moves Supreme Leader to 'Secure Location' After IDF Strike Kills Nasrallah



Now, with all that said: It seems unlikely that Israel will strike at Iran's Supreme Leader personally, for several reasons.

First: Even for Israel's vaunted intelligence apparatus, it wouldn't be an easy task to locate the Ayatollah, especially now that he has been moved to this "secure location." That location, we should note, may well be deep underground.

Second: Striking deep into Iran would be a major logistical headache. This would require IDF aircraft to overfly unfriendly airspace, not to mention Iranian airspace itself. While Iran's air force isn't exactly state-of-the-art, it does have air-defense systems like the Bavar-373 missile system, which is not to be sneezed at. Any Israeli strike deep into Iran is certain to incur losses - and an Israeli pilot ejecting over Iran is unlikely to receive good treatment on the ground.

Third: Striking directly at Iran's secular and religious leader may represent an escalation that even Israel isn't anxious to take on.

But there's an upside, one that may make such a direct strike unnecessary. Israel has clearly made an impression on Iran, even without any direct strike at the Islamic Republic's leader. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have been un-aliving Hamas and Hezbollah terrorists in big carload lots even before the pager-go-BOOM operation. Now the IDF has permanently revoked the birth certificate of Hezbollah's leader, and in so doing not only removed a nasty piece of work from the game but also demonstrated their ability to locate and remove major players in both of the Iran-backed jihadi groups.

Now, even Iran's Supreme Leader has joined the legions of rats scurrying for cover. That's a good thing in itself.
 

GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member
🚀🚀 I told you this would happen. Despite the ceaseless and diligent efforts of our crack CIA diplomatic team, including the Director himself, the Middle East war has not ended in peace but erupted into even fiercer flames this weekend. The New York Times ran a regretful story headlined, “Why the World’s Biggest Powers Can’t Stop a Middle East War.” Hint: it’s never their fault.


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This remarkable year began with the Crossfire Hurricane disclosures and has only picked up pace since then. Over the last two weeks, for better or worse, Israel completely re-defined modern warfare. First, using exploding pagers and walkie-talkies, hitting Hezbollah below the belt, Israel killed, maimed, or castrated thousands of key civilian employees responsible for the terror organization’s logistics and communications.

Next, with Hezbollah reeling in shambolic disarray, and with Israel’s Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu addressing the U.S. Congress, Israel conducted a series of dramatic, high-profile, bunker-busting air strikes in Lebanon that seem to have collectively canceled Hezbollah’s entire leadership cadre, from its strongman Nazrallah down two or three layers deep on the terrorist group’s org chart.

They are calling it an organizational “decapitation.”

On Saturday, Al Jazeera ran a story with this highly suggestive headline:


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Will it, though? The fact that Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei had to say it means a lot of folks are rightly wondering whether high-tech Israel has managed to permanently erase one of its most problematic historic enemies over just a handful of days, in what might better be described as mass assassination than any kind of recognized combat.

🚀 Consider just three ways Israel has now changed warfare forever. I realize that seems like a strong claim, and there’s no tangible evidence yet, but that’s because every other country in the world is watching what’s happening in the Middle East in shocked horror and thinking hard about how it affects them.

First, Israel shattered an unwritten gentlemen’s agreement that has been part and parcel of modern warfare since the Europeans worked out most of those rules while fighting with each other. One essential rule was that nobody targeted the other side’s leadership. Kings and other royals and elites were off-limits. Only plebes are supposed to fight and die, not planners. The rule was only rarely breached, in brief outbursts of uncontrolled barbarism by unschooled mobs like French and Soviet revolutionaries.


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But Israel just put back on the menu leadership decapitation as an official state strategy. Is anyone safe?

Second, Israel showed the world a whole new cheaper, more accessible way of winning. Its high-tech-but-also-low-tech pager and radio bombs put the entire global supply chain into high relief. It’s probably much simpler to get a few operatives into a subcontractor’s manufacturing line or into a dock workers’ union than do whatever NATO thinks it is accomplishing in Ukraine.

I guarantee the pager bombs cost nowhere near $60 billion dollars. I’d be shocked if the whole operation cost more than $6 million —including bribes— far less than the cost of a single throwaway Abrams M-1 tank mired in the Ukraininan rasputitsa. Operation Below the Belt might have cost even less than that.

Third, the critical importance of security must be on every world leader’s mind right now (if they have a working mind, cough). Israel penetrated Hezbollah’s supply chain. It also knew exactly where the top leaders were sitting when it sent its guided missiless. How did Israel know? Did they somehow get into even more Hezbollah devices, in some manner overlooked by the group’s IT teams? Did Israel have compliant human sources that Hezbollah’s security services failed to detect?

How this shakes out is anyone’s guess. We’re off the map, again. But in the short term I expect a trend of countries to start making their own smart devices, and for global supply chains to start contracting.




 

GURPS

INGSOC
PREMO Member

Top Hamas commander killed in Lebanon was UNRWA employee placed on administrative leave




GENEVA (AP) — The UN agency for Palestinian refugees said a top Hamas commander killed in Lebanon Monday was one of its employees but had been suspended since allegations of his ties to the militant group emerged in March.

Fatah Sharif’s connection to Hamas appeared set to ratchet up pressure on UNRWA, already facing a $80 million funding shortfall this year. Critics have repeatedly blasted the agency, saying it wasn’t doing enough to root out Hamas militants from its ranks.

The U.N.’s internal watchdog has been investigating UNRWA since Israel in January accused 12 of its staffers of being involved in the Oct. 7 attack on Israel, in which armed militants killed 1,200 people and abducted some 250 others. The allegations led more than a dozen donor countries to suspend their funding, causing an initial cash crunch of about $450 million dollars. Since then, all donor countries except for the United States have decided to resume funding the agency.

Hamas said Sharif was killed with his wife, son and daughter in an airstrike on Al-Buss refugee camp, one of 12 dedicated to Palestinian refugees in the country, in the southern port city of Tyre. The Israeli military confirmed it had targeted him.
 
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