State Rep. Mary Franson and state Sen. Scott Jensen released a video last week revealing that after reviewing thousands of death certificates in the state, 40% did not have COVID-19 as the underlying cause of death.
“I have other examples where COVID isn’t the underlying cause of death, where we have a fall. Another example is we have a freshwater drowning. We have dementia. We have a stroke and multiorgan failure,” Franson said in the video.
She added that in one case, a person who was ejected from a car was “counted as a COVID death” because the virus was in his system.
I am shocked you’re quoting a source that itself quotes liars like the CDC and cBS news. Get better sources.The herd immunity threshold.
The herd immunity threshold can be computed using a somewhat artificial number R0 — the basic reproduction number. Details of the definition, how it’s computed, and why it’s a bit artificial are below, but the main use of R0 is that the herd immunity threshold is reached when 1-(1/R0) of a population is immune. (It’s usually expressed as a percentage, so multiply that number by 100.)
The best estimates of the R0 for SARS-CoV-2 now put it between 2 and 3, and seem to average around 2.6 (but your mileage may vary, and those numbers are recomputed regularly.)
What this means is that herd immunity will be reached for COVID when the proportion of people who are immune is somewhere between 50 and 67 percent, with the average estimate being around 62 percent. (And don’t forget that both people who have been vaccinated and people who have had COVID and recovered are very probably immune. No matter what famous TV immunologist Stephen Colbert says.)
In today’s news, CBS reports that half of American adults have been vaccinated. The CDC reports that nearly two-thirds of Americans have had at least one vaccination shot, which conveys at least partial immunity, and there have been roughly 33 million reported cases. Total that up against 330 million people, and that comes out in the close neighborhood of 50 percent of the U.S. population should now be immune.
In other words, the U.S. has very probably passed the herd immunity threshold.
That doesn’t mean that if you haven’t had it or been vaccinated you can ignore it. You’re less likely to get it now, but there’s still a real chance you will.
But if we’ve reached herd immunity, then we expect the number of new cases to fall, and in fact (CDC again) the number of new COVID cases in the U.S. is dropping rapidly.
In other words, the epidemic is over.
I don't believe the number for herd immunity of the Fauci was ever established. I always called it the Wuhan but since he bought and paid for it. It was always an unknown, always challenging.I am shocked you’re quoting a source that itself quotes liars like the CDC and cBS news. Get better sources.
Fixed @GURPS graph for the unknowing. This is a graph that shows nature's way of dealing with humans. Notice the increase of illnesses during the winter months. (This happens every year). Arrows are approximate time stamps. It is Vitamin D that is synthesized in the exposed skin of humans when UVB light is absorbed. Absent UVB rays, foods containing Vitamin D are needed to maintain proper levels for good health.Is the pandemic over in the U.S.?
Just a thought occasioned by the fact that the United States recorded 13,541 cases yesterday, the lowest single-day number — by far — since the virus started rolling last March. The best we’d managed since April 1, 2020 was one day last June when cases slipped under 19,000 briefly as the country enjoyed a summer respite from its terrible first wave. But testing was still sparse back then. There were probably many infections going undetected.
Last June was also the last time we saw a seven-day average in daily cases of 25,000 or lower, again with lower testing. Right now we’re at 25,083.
Is this it? The imminent demise of COVID?
The U.S. Arming for war? Come on that's a joke.
“If Newsom believes the state is safe enough to reopen, then it’s safe for people to be able to make decisions for themselves without his arbitrary and capricious rules,” California Senate Republican leader Scott Wilk said in a statement Friday. “I believe it is time for him to hang up his crown and restore our democracy.”Though the California Constitution gives the power to create laws only to the Legislature, a state appeals court ruled just last month that the 1970 California Emergency Services Act grants the governor the power to change state law during a crisis.
The three-judge panel of the Sacramento-based 3rd District Court of Appeal said the Emergency Services Act is constitutional because it provides only temporary powers and contains “an important safeguard.” The court said that safeguard was a requirement that the governor, or the Legislature, proclaim an end to the emergency at the earliest possible date.