July 19, 2022 Primary

stgislander

Well-Known Member
PREMO Member
There is something going on with a lot of the democratic candidates getting almost as many votes with mail-in ballots as election day ballots. BOE candidate Marsha Williams closed the gap by 500 votes against Andrews. Chris Van Hollen got 1704 votes on election day in SMC and got 1677 mail-in/provisional votes - a difference of only 27 votes. Republicans need to step up their mail-in fraud I mean vote game if they want to win elections going forward!!!!

Damn. Franchot didn't even win SMC. 3rd place. The Dem demographic in SMC has really changed.
 

22AcaciaAve

Well-Known Member
Four or five counties will go Dem, always do. They are P.G., MoCo, Chuck, B'more, and maybe AA. That leaves eighteen for Cox.

True, population density of the Dem counties can carry the entire state, but turn-out is key for them. I never heard of Wes Moore before this primary, honestly never heard of Dan Cox either, but I hear Moore is a socialist. I'm not sure if MD Dems are ready for that, but we'll see come November.

I have hope, and probably going to need it too.

Yeah, I would love to be on here and eat crow come November, but I don't think it will happen. I'm not a big Dan Cox fan, but I simply want to stop the huge left turn Maryland is headed for. I really wish Franchot had won. At least I believe he would have been more fiscally conservative and less about social justice than Moore or even Perez would be.

Bottom line is that Cox will probably win more counties than Moore. That is not uncommon in Maryland. Every election from Carroll county west votes republican. All of the Eastern shore votes republican. Most of Southern Md votes republican. All of central MD votes democrat. O'Malley beat Erlich in 2006 by 6% points and only carried 5 out of 24 counties. The chips are very stacked against most republicans in MD. The huge population grouping of MD resides in Baltimore city, Baltimore county, Montgomery county, and Prince Georges County. Those always go democrat at a 70-30 mix. Dan Cox is way more right leaning than MD as a state is willing to go. He is a delegate from parts of Frederick and Carroll counties.

Bottom line, I think he is going to lose by over 30% points. I'm fine with being proven wrong, but I really can't see how he ends up getting any closer when Trump lost MD by 33% points in 2020. Unless he's going to switch gears and go way back to the middle, he has no chance of getting any of those votes that went to Biden.
 

kom526

They call me ... Sarcasmo
There is something going on with a lot of the democratic candidates getting almost as many votes with mail-in ballots as election day ballots. BOE candidate Marsha Williams closed the gap by 500 votes against Andrews. Chris Van Hollen got 1704 votes on election day in SMC and got 1677 mail-in/provisional votes - a difference of only 27 votes. Republicans need to step up their mail-in fraud I mean vote game if they want to win elections going forward!!!!

The number of mail ballot requests was somewhere around 500k statewide.
 
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gemma_rae

Well-Known Member
There is something going on with a lot of the democratic candidates getting almost as many votes with mail-in ballots as election day ballots. BOE candidate Marsha Williams closed the gap by 500 votes against Andrews. Chris Van Hollen got 1704 votes on election day in SMC and got 1677 mail-in/provisional votes - a difference of only 27 votes. Republicans need to step up their mail-in fraud I mean vote game if they want to win elections going forward!!!!

You can say that again! First Moore was winning, then the mail in ballots were counted and Perez was winning, then they count some more and now Moore won.

It's like each campaign was saying "Order some more mail in ballots, QUICK!" until finally Perez cried uncle.:bawl:
 
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