Over the past week, friends in Russia have described to me how storefronts in vibrant shopping districts are being shuttered and there are long queues of people trying to buy goods before they become permanently unavailable. The price of modern necessities like children’s nappies increased threefold in the space of a few days. The sticker price of many other consumer products is no longer the real price when you bring them to the cash register. Police are questioning groups of young people in the subway on suspicion of being part of illegal gatherings. State employees are having their social media accounts scrutinised for evidence of sedition. People with a history of left-wing activism are fleeing the country while they still can, and those who remain behind risk long jail terms.
They say the result will not be what the West hopes for, however. The austerities resulting from sanctions will be felt most acutely by the middle-class metropolitan intelligentsia who represent about 20 per cent of the Russian population, and have become used to Italian shoes, French cheese, and the international news media. The problem for NATO is that most Russians don’t travel abroad and they get their news from state media. As far as they’re concerned, their government is protecting them against NATO’s weapons of mass destruction. Russian Telegram channels are full of stories like the one that says the Ukrainians hurriedly shut down a Pentagon-backed biological weapons
program just before the Russian army moved in. These people are not turning against their leader but are closing ranks against the West.
In a Russian-language social media
post that has been viewed millions of times across various platforms, writer
Alexander Tsypkin gives a list of reasons why the West is creating a monster by trying to isolate Russia. He says it’s economically impossible to smother a country where 30 per cent of the population still uses an outside toilet. As a friend whose parents belong in this category puts it, their Urals village is not connected to public sanitation services but they go to church each Sunday where they light a candle for Putin. The idea that they can be bludgeoned into submission by pulling Louis Vuitton or Marks & Spencer out of Russia, and by cutting off the SWIFT international payment system, is risible. Tsypkin says this population has contempt for the tranquillity and risk-averseness of petty-bourgeois life and is not amenable to what Western powers might think of as rational appeals.